Asurif s usurif · Asurif s usurif · 7 tsd

Asurif s usurif: rrehn ɣef tegzemt

«Sbeɛṭac d lǧiran», semmus n yijiṭunen yal tikkelt, i yiwet n tsaɛett. Amek i tettḥulfu teɣimit n tegzemt n uḍebsi, d wacḥal i tettkellif.

Tiririt tawezlant

Taɣimit yettwasimulin n 50 n tuzzyiwin s semmus n yijiṭunen n $2 ɣef 2-25-17-34-6, taɣanbuct n semmus n texxamin i d-yezzin i 17. Sa n tikkal yeṭṭef deg 50 n tuzzyiwin, ačuran +$4 deffir lexsara n $120. Semmus n yiwen wuṭṭun s teqsiḍt, yerna taqsiḍt ur tbeddel acemma.

rrehn
5 × $2 ɣef 2 25 17 34 6
p(yeṭṭef)
13,51%
ačuran ma yeṭṭef
+$62
yettwaṛǧan deg 50 n tuzzyiwin
−$13,51

Aɣawas

Init «sbeɛṭac d lǧiranrrehnLǧiranYiwen wuṭṭun d snat n texxamin ɣef yal tama-s ɣef uḍebsi, semmus n yijiṭunen ɣef yiwen wuṭṭun.Ɣer akk →» neɣ ssedet ɣef 17 deg racetrackṭṭablaRacetrackAɣerdu aqerqur ɣef tfelwiyin srid d tid n tmacinin i d-yesskanen uṭṭunen s umyizwer n uḍebsi, yettwasqedcen i users n rrhun n lǧiran d tegzemt s yiwen usiti.Ɣer akk →: $2 yal yiwen ɣef 2, 25, 17, 34 d 6, semmus n texxaminibenkanTaxxamtYiwet seg 37 n texxamin s wuṭṭunen ɣef uqerru yettezzin. Daɣen: slot, cup.Ɣer akk → yemlalen i d-yezzin i 17 ɣef uḍebsi. $10 i tuzzya. Ma yeṭṭef, ixelleṣ 35 × $2 = $70 ɣef yiwen ujiṭunidrimenAjiṭunTamatart i d-yemmalen azal yettwasbedden, yettwasersen ɣef tfelwit akken ad yili rrehn. Daɣen: check.Ɣer akk →, ukkuẓ nniḍen xesren: +$62. Ma ur yeṭṭif ara, $10 xesren. TaprubabilittusnaktTaprubabilitAzal n yiwen ugmuḍ ad d-yeḍru, seg 0 ɣer 1 neɣ seg 0% ɣer 100%. Yiwen wuṭṭun: 1/37 = 2,70%.Ɣer akk → n tuṭṭfa 5/37 = 13,51%: qrib yiwet n tuzzya seg 7,4. Agmuḍ yettwaṛǧan deg 50 n tuzzyiwin: −$13,51.

Ṭṭabla n rulit

Tuzzyiwin 1–15

Ala, ala, ala, ala, ala, ala, ala, ala, ala, ala, ala, ala, yeṭṭef (34), ala, ala. Yiwet n tuṭṭfa deg xmesṭac; lexsara n $120 deg tuzzya 12, sakin +$62 deg tuzzya 13, lexsara n $78 deffir xmesṭac. Taprubabilit n tnac n tikkal ur yeṭṭif ara seg tazwara d (32/37)¹² ≈ 17%. D lḥala n yal ass n umurar n tegzemtaḍebsiTagzemtAḥric n texxamin yemmeḍfaren ɣef uḍebsi, mačči d tagrumma ɣef tfelwit.Ɣer akk →.

tuzzyiwintuṭṭfiwinanta tixxaminačuran n tallitleḥsab amatu
1–15134−$78−$78
16–30317, 2, 17+$66−$12
31–4526, 25−$6−$18
46–50117+$22+$4
Yettwasimul ɣef uḍebsi imsawi. Sa n tuṭṭfiwin deg 50 n tuzzyiwin mgal 6,8 yettwaṛǧan; kraḍ seg-sent ɣef 17, ayen yesɛan 1/37 yal tikkelt, ur d-yemmal acemma.
Tnac n tikkal ur yeṭṭif ara seg tazwara: qrib yiwet n teɣimit n tegzemt seg sḍis i yebdan akka.

Tuzzyiwin 16–50

Kraḍ n tuṭṭfiwin deg tallit tis snat, snat deg tis kraḍ, yiwet deg semmus tineggura. Sa n tuṭṭfiwin deg xemsin n tuzzyiwin, mgal 6,76 yettwaṛǧan: afmiḍi n tuṭṭfa d alemmas s timmad-is, d ugmuḍ n +$4 i d-yusan kan seg umyizwer yelhan n tuṭṭfiwin. Lukan tuṭṭfa taneggarut tusa-d yiwet n tuzzya deffir, nili neffeɣ s −$68. Lukan 17 yeffeɣ-d yiwet n tikkelt nniḍen, +$76. TavaryanstusnaktTavaryansAktazal n wamek i d-ttwazzaren igmaḍ i tama n wazal yettwaṛǧan. Meqqret i rrehn ɣef yiwen wuṭṭun, meẓẓiyet i rrhun s lexlaṣ imsawi.Ɣer akk → n rrehn n 13,5% deg 50 n tuzzyiwin d tameqqrant mgal lexsara yettwaṛǧantusnaktLexsara yettwaṛǧanAzal yettwaṛǧan seg tmerna n yidrimen yettwarhen; d alemmas n wayen yettwaxsar deg yiwet n tɣimit neɣ deg yiwen wakud.Ɣer akk → n $13,51: abeɛɛed alugantusnaktAbeɛɛed aluganAẓar amkuẓ n tavaryans; ameccaq n umata gar ugmuḍ d wazal yettwaṛǧan.Ɣer akk → n ugmuḍ d qrib $175.

Taɣimit-a d ḥdac nniḍen s yiwen n rrehnagmuḍ mgal tazwara
+$2 920$0−$300+$1 0800125250375500tuzzyiwinagmuḍ
1 000 n tɣimiyin × 500 n tuzzyiwin · amidadi p10/p25/p75/p90, anili afsas azal n tlemmast, 82 n yimedyaten ifsasen · sekcmet taɣerdayt deg udlif i yiswiren n yal tuzzya
  • p10 −$300
  • p25 −$300
  • azal n tlemmast −$300
  • p75 −$300
  • p90 +$760
1 000 n tɣimiyin × 500 n tuzzyiwin · agellus y yettwagzem ɣer yiswiren 1–99 (seg uzal amecṭuḥ akk −$300 ar umeqqran akk +$3 740) · 500 n tuzzyiwin · tazwara $10 · yiwen wuṭṭun
Yettwaḥseb s qrib am rrehn n $10 ɣef yiwen wuṭṭun, i yesɛan tikli yemxalfen am nettat. Rrehn n tegzemt d semmus n yiwen wuṭṭun, yettbeddil ddaw n uzgen n yiwen.

Ayɣer tagzemt

Acku d taɣanbuct tafizikt n uḍebsi, ayen yesɛan azal ma yella, ma yella kan, aḍebsi s umyal ɣer taɣanbuct-nni, yerna ulac ɣur-neɣ ayen i d-yesbeggnen ayagi. War amyal, rrehn n tegzemt d semmus n yiwen wuṭṭunrrehnYiwen wuṭṭunYiwen wuṭṭun kan, ixelleṣ 35:1.Ɣer akk → ur nesɛi assaɣ: yiwet n lmaziyya, yiwen lexlaṣidrimenLexlaṣAyen i d-yettak rrehn i yerbḥen, yettwanna «X ɣef 1» nnig rrehn i d-yettuɣalen.Ɣer akk →, yiwet n taprubabilit am 2, 25, 17, 34 d 6 yettwafernen acku d ussan n tlalit n kra n yiwen. Racetrack yessishil asers-is, yettak i tmeddit taqsiḍt. Leḥsab ur yeqqar ara tiqsiḍin.

Ugur: aḍebsi n wass n tlalit

Ayen ara yexdem s wudem nniḍen umurar n umyal

Ad yaru uqbel igiman n tuzzyiwin n uḍebsi-a s timmad-is, ad d-yaf tagzemt i d-yettbanen ugar n 5/37 deg snat n tegrummiwin timanayin, ad yerhen fell-as s udrim yettwaṣeggmen ɣef lmaziyya yettwaktalen. Sa n tuṭṭfiwin-nneɣ deg xemsin n tuzzyiwin mačči d abeggen n wacemma; asebter n tiddi n tegrumma n Tanarit yeqqar-d belli nesra timiḍi n tikkal ugar n tuzzyiwin akken ad nini ma taɣanbuct-a teḥma. Nrehn fell-as acku 17 d uṭṭun yelhan, d tin i d sebba n medden akk.

Isteqsiyen

Rrehn n lǧiran ifaz semmus n wuṭṭunen ur nettwafren ara?

D yiwen ala ma yella aḍebsi s umyal ɣer taɣanbuct-nni, ayen ara yesran igiman n tuzzyiwin akken ad yettwassen.

Ayɣer nrehn s yijiṭunen n $2?

Ṭṭabla n $10 s rrehn s wawalṭṭablaRrehn s wawalRrehn i yettwanan i ukrupi deg wadeg ad yettwasers s ufus, s umata d rrehn ɣef tegzemt n uḍebsi am voisins neɣ tiers. Daɣen «announced bet».Ɣer akk → n semmus n yijiṭunen. Talast tadday n rrhun igensanen tettwaḥsab ɣef wayen akk.

Nezmer ad nrehn ɣef ugar n lǧiran?

«S 3» yessers sa n yijiṭunen i yeṭṭfen sa n texxamin s 18,9%. Yiwet n lmaziyya, tikli yelhan ugar.

Taḍsa i usgunfu

Semmus n yiwen wuṭṭun s teqsiḍt. Aḍebsi ur yeqqar ara.

Semmus n yiwen wuṭṭun s teqsiḍt. Aḍebsi ur yeqqar ara.

Iɣbula

  1. Barnhart, R. T. Beating the Wheel. Lyle Stuart, 1992.
  2. Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling. Springer, 2010. Ixef 13, rulit.
yettwasenqed 2026-09-28tamudemt: tawrupit, yiwen yilemtarrayt ↗iɣbula ↗