Asurif s usurif · Asurif s usurif · 8 tsd

Asurif s usurif: tameddit n $100 ɣef uzeggaɣ

Timiḍi n yidularen, ijiṭunen n semmus n yidularen, azeggaɣ deg yal tuzzya, d ulugen n usbeddi. Tuzzya s tuzzya.

Tiririt tawezlant

Tameddit yettwasimulin ɣef ṭṭabla srid: alamma d 60 n tuzzyiwin n $5 ɣef uzeggaɣ seg tedrimt n $100, s talast n lexsara n $50 d talast n rrbeḥ n $50. Talast n lexsara i tt-ifukken deg tuzzya 36. Taɣimit-a tesken amek tettban tavaryans deg wakud n tidet, d acuɣer alugen n usbeddi d netta kan i d afran i yesɛan azal.

tadrimt
$100
adrim n rrehn
$5 ɣef uzeggaɣ
ilugan n usbeddi
−$50 / +$50
lexsara yettwaṛǧan
$8,11 deg 60 n tuzzyiwin

Aɣawas

Tella tastratijit n rulit igerrzen akk s $100? Ulac tin yessenqasen ssuma s ulemmas. Tadrimt-a d idrimen i nezmer ad nexser; ayen i nferren d adrim n rrehn d yilugan n usbeddi. Adrim n rrehn $5, 5% n tedrimt, ayen i aɣ-d-yettaken qrib ɛecrin n rrhun yexsren deg ufus. Talast n lexsaratastratijitTalast n lexsaraAzal n lexsara yettwasbedden send, anda ara tfakkem taɣimit.Ɣer akk → ɣer −$50 d talast n rrbeḥtastratijitTalast n rrbeḥIswi n rrbeḥ yettwasbedden send, anda ara tfakkem taɣimit.Ɣer akk → ɣer +$50, nferren-tent tura. Lexsara yettwaṛǧantusnaktLexsara yettwaṛǧanAzal yettwaṛǧan seg tmerna n yidrimen yettwarhen; d alemmas n wayen yettwaxsar deg yiwet n tɣimit neɣ deg yiwen wakud.Ɣer akk → deg 60 n tuzzyiwin d 60 × $5 / 37 = $8,11. Nettraǧu ad nffeɣ s qrib $92, ad nili gar $20 d $170 s taprubabilittusnaktTaprubabilitAzal n yiwen ugmuḍ ad d-yeḍru, seg 0 ɣer 1 neɣ seg 0% ɣer 100%. Yiwen wuṭṭun: 1/37 = 2,70%.Ɣer akk → meqqren.

Tuzzyiwin 1–20

Z B B Z Z 0 B Z Z B Z B B B Z Z B Z B Z. Mraw n uzeggaɣrrehnAzeggaɣRrehn s lexlaṣ imsawi ɣef 18 n wuṭṭunen izeggaɣen. S tefransist: rouge.Ɣer akk →, tẓa n uberkanrrehnAberkanRrehn s lexlaṣ imsawi ɣef 18 n wuṭṭunen iberkanen. S tefransist: noir.Ɣer akk →, yiwen yilemaḍebsiIlemTaxxamt tazegzawt tasuft ur yeṭṭif ula d yiwen n rrehn s lexlaṣ imsawi, n ddzina neɣ n tgejdit; d aɣbalu n lmaziyya n lkazinu. Daɣen: yiwen yilem, 0.Ɣer akk →: +$50 − $45 − $5 = $0. Lḥisab $100. Ilem n tuzzya 6 ikellef yiwen ujiṭunidrimenAjiṭunTamatart i d-yemmalen azal yettwasbedden, yettwasersen ɣef tfelwit akken ad yili rrehn. Daɣen: check.Ɣer akk →, yerna, s 1/37, yusa-d cwiṭ zik. Ulac ayen yesweḥcen dagi. Deffir ɛecrin n tuzzyiwin, ulac rrbeḥ ulac lexsara.

tuzzyaagmuḍagmuḍ n rrehnlḥisab
1azeggaɣ+$5$105
2–3aberkan, aberkan−$10$95
4–5azeggaɣ, azeggaɣ+$10$105
6ilem−$5$100
7aberkan−$5$95
8–9azeggaɣ, azeggaɣ+$10$105
10–14B Z B B B−$15$90
15–16azeggaɣ, azeggaɣ+$10$100
17–20B Z B Z$0$100
Azrar n yigmaḍ yettwasimulin seg uḍebsi imsawi. Win-nwen ad yemgarad deg yal aḥric amecṭuḥ, maca mačči deg tidaddanin.

Tuzzyiwin 21–36

B B B B B Z B B Z B B Z B B B B. Semmus n uberkan deg tazwara, tlaṭṭac akk: kraḍ n uzeggaɣ, tlaṭṭac n uberkan, +$15 − $65 = −$50. Lḥisab $50. D tallit-a i yerran imdanen ad beddlen rrehn, ad snernin s sin, neɣ ad beddlen ini. Taprubabilit n 13 n uberkan neɣ ugar deg 16 n tuzzyiwin ddaw 1%; ad teḍru i yiwen deg yiḍ-a. Nexser $50 seg tazwara, talast n lexsara tekker deg tuzzya 36, nekker-d.

Tlaṭṭac n uberkan deg seṭṭac n tuzzyiwin, talast n lexsara tewweḍ deg tuzzya 36.

Tuzzyiwin 37–60, war nekkni

Z B Z B, sakin Z Z B Z 0 Z B Z Z B Z Z B B Z Z B Z B Z. Arbaṭac n uzeggaɣ, tẓa n uberkan, yiwen yilem: lukan neqqim, +$70 − $45 − $5 = +$20 d lḥisab n $70 deg tuzzya 60. Sḍis u tlatin n tuzzyiwin ɣef ṭṭabla srid, d qrib 45 n tesdatin. Neffeɣ s $50, nexser $50, mgal −$4,86 yettwaṛǧan i 36 n tuzzyiwin. Tlaṭṭac n uzeggaɣ, tnayen u ɛecrin n uberkan, yiwen yilem.

Tameddit, d ḥdac nniḍen i yezmren ad ḍruntagmuḍ mgal tazwara
+$190$0−$100+$80−$500125250375500tuzzyiwinagmuḍ
1 000 n tɣimiyin × 500 n tuzzyiwin · amidadi p10/p25/p75/p90, anili afsas azal n tlemmast, 82 n yimedyaten ifsasen · sekcmet taɣerdayt deg udlif i yiswiren n yal tuzzya
  • p10 −$100
  • p25 −$100
  • azal n tlemmast −$100
  • p75 +$0
  • p90 +$70
1 000 n tɣimiyin × 500 n tuzzyiwin · agellus y yettwagzem ɣer yiswiren 1–99 (seg uzal amecṭuḥ akk −$100 ar umeqqran akk +$300) · 500 n tuzzyiwin · tazwara $5 · lexlaṣ imsawi
Yiwet seg-sent tcuba qrib tameddit-nneɣ. Tiyaḍ d yiwen uɣawas deg yiḍan nniḍen. Talast n lexsara n $50 tili tessekfa snat seg-sent zik; talast n rrbeḥ n $50 tili tessekfa yiwet.

Ayen yeḍran

Nxelleṣ qrib $5 ɣef 45 n tesdatin n rulit, rnu $45 n zzher n diri. Tlaṭṭac n uzeggaɣ deg 36 n tuzzyiwin, aṭas ddaw 17,5 yettwaṛǧan, yerna tẓa n uzeggaɣ ddaw uberkan d −$45 uqbel yilem. Tameddit, d tavaryanstusnaktTavaryansAktazal n wamek i d-ttwazzaren igmaḍ i tama n wazal yettwaṛǧan. Meqqret i rrehn ɣef yiwen wuṭṭun, meẓẓiyet i rrhun s lexlaṣ imsawi.Ɣer akk → i tt-yefran; ssuma, d adrim n rrehn d tuzzyiwin i t-yefran; talast n lexsara i yefran mi ara tfakk. Lukan neqqim, nili nerra-d $20 deg tuzzya 60, maca ayagi mačči d sebba i uqqimi: tuɣalin-nni d tavaryans daɣen, am wazrar n uberkan i tt-id-yezwaren.

Ayen ur nexdim ara

Abeddel n udrim n rrehn deffir lexsara (d anagraw n usnernitastratijitAnagraw n usnerniYal alugen i yettbeddilen rrehn ɣef leḥsab n yigmaḍ yezrin. Asnerni deffir lexsara yessali-t deffir lexsara, asnerni deffir rrbeḥ deffir rrbeḥ.Ɣer akk → wagi, yessali amḍan n rrhun meṛṛaidrimenAmḍan n rrhun meṛṛaTamerna n yidrimen yettwarhen deg yiwet n tɣimit neɣ deg yiwen wakud, s rrbeḥ i yettuɣalen yettwarhen. Daɣen: handle, action.Ɣer akk →). Abeddel n yini deffir wazrar n uberkan (yiwen wassaɣ). Aqqimi ugar n 60 n tuzzyiwin acku nella «qrib kif kif» (d talast n lexsara i d-yettuɛawaden deg umeslay). Rrehn ɣef ddzinarrehnDdzina1–12, 13–24 neɣ 25–36, ixelleṣ 2:1.Ɣer akk → «ur d-teffiɣ ara» (yiwet n lmaziyya, udem nniḍen). Yal yiwet seg-sent tili tbeddel udem n tmeddit, maca ula d yiwet ur tbeddel ssuma-s yettwaṛǧan.

Isteqsiyen

Ayɣer $5 mačči $10?

Ɛecrin n yijiṭunen deg ufus deg umkan n mraw. Tameddit teṭṭul; ssuma n yal tuzzya tettwabḍa ɣef sin.

Ṭṭabla tafransist tili tɛawen?

Lexsara yettwaṛǧan $4,05 deg umkan n $8,11. Ih.

Azrar n uberkan d tazmilt n kra?

N wacemma. Tlaṭṭac n uberkan deg seṭṭac n tuzzyiwin yeḍṛu qrib yiwet n tmeddit seg 125.

Taḍsa i usgunfu

Adrim n rrehn d tuzzyiwin i yesbedden ssuma. Aḍebsi i yesbedden lḥala n wul.

Adrim n rrehn d tuzzyiwin i yesbedden ssuma. Aḍebsi i yesbedden lḥala n wul.

Iɣbula

  1. Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling. Springer, 2010. Ixef 13, rulit.
yettwasenqed 2026-09-28tamudemt: tawrupit, yiwen yilemtarrayt ↗iɣbula ↗