Lmed rulit · Alugen · 6 tsd

Alugen La Partage deg rulit

«Beṭṭu»: deg rulit tafransist, la partage yebɣa ad yini belli rrhun s lexlaṣ imsawirrehnRrehn s lexlaṣ imsawiAzeggaɣ/aberkan, aryan/uyug, afellay/adday. 18 n wuṭṭunen, ixelleṣ 1:1.Ɣer akk → xesren kan azgen mi ara d-yeɣli yilem.

Tiririt tawezlant

S la partage, lmaziyya n lkazinutusnaktLmaziyya n lkazinuAḥric n yal rrehn i teṭṭef lkazinu s ulemmas: 2,70% deg rulit tawrupit.Ɣer akk → ɣef uzeggaɣ/aberkan, aryan/uyug d adday/afellay ad teṣubb seg 2,70% ɣer 1,35%. Rrhun nniḍen ur ttbeddilen ara.

i wumi yettwasnas
rrhun s lexlaṣ imsawi
ɣef yilem
azgen n rrehn yettuɣal-d
lmaziyya
1,35%
i $10, 100 n tuzzyiwin
−$13,51

Amek yeddu ulugen n la partage deg rulit

Tsersem $10 ɣef uzeggaɣrrehnAzeggaɣRrehn s lexlaṣ imsawi ɣef 18 n wuṭṭunen izeggaɣen. S tefransist: rouge.Ɣer akk →. TakurtibenkanTakurtTakurt tamecṭuḥt i yettwaḍeqqren deg ubrid mgal aqerru yettezzin. Tikurin n tura d ivorine neɣ d Teflon, 18–21 mm.Ɣer akk → teɣli ɣef yilemaḍebsiIlemTaxxamt tazegzawt tasuft ur yeṭṭif ula d yiwen n rrehn s lexlaṣ imsawi, n ddzina neɣ n tgejdit; d aɣbalu n lmaziyya n lkazinu. Daɣen: yiwen yilem, 0.Ɣer akk →. Deg wadeg ad yekkes ajiṭunidrimenAjiṭunTamatart i d-yemmalen azal yettwasbedden, yettwasersen ɣef tfelwit akken ad yili rrehn. Daɣen: check.Ɣer akk →, akrupi ad awen-d-yerr $5, ad yeṭṭef $5. Ulac ayen nniḍen ara ibeddlen deg wurar: azeggaɣ mazal ixelleṣ 1 ɣef 1, ilem mazal ixelleṣ 35 ɣef 1 i win i yerhnen fell-as, ddzinatrrehnDdzina1–12, 13–24 neɣ 25–36, ixelleṣ 2:1.Ɣer akk → d tigejdarrehnTagejditTnac n wuṭṭunen deg yiwet n tgejdit tubdidt n tfelwit, ixelleṣ 2:1.Ɣer akk → xesrent akk. Alugen-a yeḥuza kan sḍis n tɣerfin n lexlaṣ imsawi, kan mi ara d-yeɣli yilem.

Leḥsab

EV i yal aferdisidrimenAferdisRrehn agejdan s wacu i yettxeddem unagraw neɣ amurar. Inagrawen n usnerni ttwaglamen s yiferdisen akken ad ilin i yal ṭṭabla.Ɣer akk → ɣef uzeggaɣ war alugen: (18/37)(+1) + (19/37)(−1) = −1/37 ≈ −2,70%. S la partagealugenLa partageAlugen afransis: mi ara d-yeffeɣ yilem, azgen n rrehn s lexlaṣ imsawi yettuɣal-d. Yessenqas lmaziyya n lkazinu ɣef rrhun-a ɣer uzgen, d 1,35%.Ɣer akk →: (18/37)(+1) + (18/37)(−1) + (1/37)(−½) = −1/74 ≈ −1,35%. Azgen n lexsara n yilem yettuɣal-d, ihi azgen n lmaziyya yettruḥu. D netta kan i d alugen n rulit yettwassnen yeddan s lfayda n umurar, u lemxalfa-s tettnerni s tɣimit meṛṛa.

Lexsara yettwaṛǧan ɣef rrhun s lexlaṣ imsawi, $10 × 100 n tuzzyiwin$
Tafransist, la partage
$13,51
Tawrupit
$27,03
Tamarikanit
$52,63
$
026,32$52,63

Anda ara t-tafem

D alugen amagnu deg lkazinu n Faransa d Munaku, yettwassen deg Urupa meṛṛa, yella daɣen deg rulit deg Internet ɣef waṭas n ṭṭablat srid i ɣef yura «Rulit tafransisttawsitRulit tafransistAḍebsi s yiwen yilem s la partage neɣ en prison, i yessenqasen lmaziyya n lkazinu ɣef rrhun s lexlaṣ imsawi ɣer 1,35%.Ɣer akk →». Walit tafelwit n yilugan: tikwal isem-a yettwaseqdac i ṭṭabla tawrupit s tugniwin s tefransist war partage. Kra n tzeqqiwin n talast tafellayt deg Marikan fkan alugen n «surrender» ɣef uḍebsi s sin yilmawen, d la partage s yisem nniḍen, yessenqas lmaziyya n lexlaṣ imsawi seg 5,26% ɣer 2,63%.

ṭṭablalmaziyya n lexlaṣ imsawiayen yeḍran ɣef yilem
Tafransist, la partage1,35%azgen n rrehn yettuɣal-d
Tafransist, en prison≈ 1,35–1,39%rrehn yettwaṭṭef i tuzzya nniḍen
Tawrupit, war alugen2,70%rrehn yexser
Tamarikanit s surrender2,63%azgen n rrehn yettuɣal-d
Tamarikanit, war alugen5,26%rrehn yexser

Rulit tafransist

Ayen i d-yettawi i yinagrawen

Yal anagraw n usnernitastratijitAnagraw n usnerniYal alugen i yettbeddilen rrehn ɣef leḥsab n yigmaḍ yezrin. Asnerni deffir lexsara yessali-t deffir lexsara, asnerni deffir rrbeḥ deffir rrbeḥ.Ɣer akk → n lexlaṣ imsawi (MartingaletastratijitMartingaleAnagraw n usnerni i yessneggmen rrehn deffir yal lexsara. Walit taggayt n tstratijit i wayen i yettxemmem d wayen ur yettxemmim ara.Ɣer akk →, D’Alembert, LabouchèretastratijitLabouchèreAnagraw n tukksa: aru ajerriḍ n wuṭṭunen, rhen s tmerna n sin yixfawen, kkes-iten deffir rrbeḥ, rnu adrim yexsren deffir lexsara.Ɣer akk →, ParolitastratijitParoliAsnerni deffir rrbeḥ: snegmu deffir rrbeḥ, wennez deffir lexsara neɣ deffir kraḍ n rrbeḥ yemmeḍfaren. Daɣen: Martingale tamettiwt.Ɣer akk →) yebna ɣef uzeggaɣ/aberkanrrehnAberkanRrehn s lexlaṣ imsawi ɣef 18 n wuṭṭunen iberkanen. S tefransist: noir.Ɣer akk →. Ɣef ṭṭabla n la partage, lexsara yettwaṛǧantusnaktLexsara yettwaṛǧanAzal yettwaṛǧan seg tmerna n yidrimen yettwarhen; d alemmas n wayen yettwaxsar deg yiwet n tɣimit neɣ deg yiwen wakud.Ɣer akk → i yal aferdis yettwarehnen tettenqas s wazgen deg-sen meṛṛa. Ulac win ara yuɣalen d rrbeḥ; alemmas yeqqim ddaw yilem. Maca ma tebɣam ad turarem yiwen deg-sen, alugen n ṭṭabla ibeddel agmuḍ-nwen ugar n wayen ibeddel ufran n unagraw.

Tastratijit D'AlembertTastratijit Labouchère

Tasemselt

EV = (18/37)(+1) + (18/37)(−1) + (1/37)(−½) = −1/74

Isteqsiyen

Yettwasnas la partage ɣef ddzinat?

Ala. Ɣef sḍis n rrhun s lexlaṣ imsawi kan.

D ayen kif kif d en prison?

Qrib. Sin-nni fkan azal n 1,35%. La partage yettfakka imir-nni; en prisonalugenEn prisonAlugen afransis: mi ara d-yeffeɣ yilem, rrehn s lexlaṣ imsawi yettwaṭṭaf i tuzzya i d-iteddun deg wadeg ad yexser. Yessenqas lmaziyya n lkazinu ɣef rrhun-a ɣer uzgen.Ɣer akk → yettak tuzzya tis snat.

Nezmer ad nefren gar-asen?

Drus. Ṭṭabla tsnas yiwen neɣ wayeḍ. Kra n ṭṭablat deg Monte Carlo ǧǧant amurar ad yefren mi ara d-yeɣli yilem.

Taḍsa i usgunfu

1,35%. Rrehn igerrzen deg rulit d alugen, mačči d uṭṭun.

1,35%. Rrehn igerrzen deg rulit d alugen, mačči d uṭṭun.

Iɣbula

  1. Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling. Springer, 2010. Ixef 13, rulit.
  2. Epstein, R. A. The Theory of Gambling and Statistical Logic, 2nd ed. Academic Press, 2013.
yettwasenqed 2026-09-28tamudemt: tawrupit, yiwen yilemtarrayt ↗iɣbula ↗