Ifecka · Monte Carlo
Asimulatur n tstratijit n rulit
Asimulatur-a n tstratijit n rulit yetturar igiman n tɣimiyin n yal anagraw n rrhun ɣef rrhun s lexlaṣ imsawi, akken ad twalim abeṭṭu meṛṛa n yigmaḍ, mačči yiwen uzrar n zzher.
tiɣimiyin s rrbeḥ
62,5%
yeɣli ugerruj (agerruj 0)
28,7%
agmuḍ n tlemmast
+$400
agmuḍ alemmas
−$69,11
taɣimit yelhan akk
+$630
taɣimit n diri akk
−$1 000
aswir 5 / 95
−$1 000 / +$560
aɣelluy ameqqran n tlemmast
−$630
1 000 n tɣimiyin × 100 n tuzzyiwin · amidadi p10/p25/p75/p90, anili afsas azal n tlemmast, 83 n yimedyaten ifsasen · sekcmet taɣerdayt deg udlif i yiswiren n yal tuzzya
- p10 −$1 000
- p25 −$1 000
- azal n tlemmast +$400
- p75 +$490
- p90 +$540
Abeṭṭu n yigmaḍ n tɣimiyinlexsara ← | → rrbeḥ
−$1 000$0+$630
serset taɣerdayt ɣef ufeggag · ifeggagen izeggaɣen d tiɣimiyin s lexsara, izegzawen s rrbeḥ, afeggag afsas iḍebber $0
Taɣuri n ugmuḍ
Martingale deg 100 n tuzzyiwin seg ugerruj n $1 000: 62,5% seg 1 000 n tɣimiyin kfant s rrbeḥ, u 28,7% xesrent agerruj meṛṛa. Taɣimit n tlemmast tekfa ɣef +$400, alemmas ɣef −$69,11. Alemmas yella s waṭas ddaw n lexsara yettwaṛǧan n umurar ur nettbeddil rrehn (qrib $27), acku anagraw n usnerni yettrehin ugar aṭas deg yal taɣimit. Ulac aɣewwar ara ibeddlen lexsara yettwaṛǧan i yal adular yettwarehnen: teqqim d 2,70%.
Tarrayt d tiwtilin
Rrehn s lexlaṣ imsawi (azeggaɣ), taprubabilit n rrbeḥ 18/37, tuzzyiwin timanayin seg umsirew s uẓar, ihi yal aɣewwar yettɛawad-d agmuḍ-nni yiwen. Taɣimit tettekfu ɣer umḍan n tuzzyiwin neɣ mi ara yaweḍ ugerruj ɣer yilem. Rrhun ur ttɛeddin ara talast n ṭṭabla d wayen yeqqimen deg ugerruj. Martingale yettuɣal ɣer rrehn n tazwara mi ara yili usnerni s snat d-iteddun ad yɛeddi talast. Paroli yettuɣal ɣer tazwara deffir kraḍ n rrbeḥ. Labouchère yebda s ujerriḍ 1-2-3-4 s yiferdisen n uzgen n rrehn n tazwara.