Rrehn ɣef sin wuṭṭunen
Rrehn ɣef sin wuṭṭunen deg rulit d yiwen ujiṭun ɣef ujerriḍ gar sin wuṭṭunen yemlalen.
Sin wuṭṭunen seg 37, ixelleṣ 17:1. TaprubabilittusnaktTaprubabilitAzal n yiwen ugmuḍ ad d-yeḍru, seg 0 ɣer 1 neɣ seg 0% ɣer 100%. Yiwen wuṭṭun: 1/37 = 2,70%.Ɣer akk → 5,41%, lmaziyya n lkazinutusnaktLmaziyya n lkazinuAḥric n yal rrehn i teṭṭef lkazinu s ulemmas: 2,70% deg rulit tawrupit.Ɣer akk → 2,70%.
D acu-t rrehn ɣef sin wuṭṭunen deg rulit?
AjiṭunidrimenAjiṭunTamatart i d-yemmalen azal yettwasbedden, yettwasersen ɣef tfelwit akken ad yili rrehn. Daɣen: check.Ɣer akk → yeqqim ɣef yiri yettwabḍan gar snat n texxamin. Rrhun ɣef sin wuṭṭunenrrehnSin wuṭṭunenSin wuṭṭunen yemyuḍanen, ixelleṣ 17:1.Ɣer akk → s uglawi sdukkulen uṭṭunen n yiwen ujerriḍ (17-18); wid s ubeddu sdukkulen uṭṭunen n yiwet tgejditrrehnTagejditTnac n wuṭṭunen deg yiwet n tgejdit tubdidt n tfelwit, ixelleṣ 2:1.Ɣer akk → (17-20). IlemaḍebsiIlemTaxxamt tazegzawt tasuft ur yeṭṭif ula d yiwen n rrehn s lexlaṣ imsawi, n ddzina neɣ n tgejdit; d aɣbalu n lmaziyya n lkazinu. Daɣen: yiwen yilem, 0.Ɣer akk → yettemlal d 1, 2 neɣ 3 ɣef yiri-s n ddaw. Ɣef uẓeṭṭa n 3×12, llan 57 n rrhun imagnuten ɣef sin wuṭṭunen d kraḍ-nni s yilem, 60 akk. Ajiṭun i yeṭṭfen tiɣmertrrehnTiɣmertUkkuẓ n wuṭṭunen yesɛan yiwet n tɣemert tamcerkt ɣef tfelwit, ixelleṣ 8:1.Ɣer akk → deg wadeg n yiri d rrehn n tɣemert, ihi sersit-t deg tlemmast n ujerriḍ.
Acḥal ixelleṣ rrehn ɣef sin wuṭṭunen deg rulit?
Assaɣ n tidet mgal sin wuṭṭunen seg 37 d 17,5 ɣef 1; ṭṭabla txelleṣ 17. S ujiṭun n $10, mi ara yerbeḥ yettarra-d $170 n rrbeḥ d rrehn. Deg 37 n tuzzyiwin n walemmas, tettrebḥem snat n tikkal (+$340) u tettxesrem 35 n tikkal (−$350), agmuḍ ačuran −$10 ɣef $370 yettwarehnen: 2,70%.
Tamagit
Azgen n tvaryanstusnaktTavaryansAktazal n wamek i d-ttwazzaren igmaḍ i tama n wazal yettwaṛǧan. Meqqret i rrehn ɣef yiwen wuṭṭun, meẓẓiyet i rrhun s lexlaṣ imsawi.Ɣer akk → n rrehn ɣef yiwen wuṭṭunrrehnYiwen wuṭṭunYiwen wuṭṭun kan, ixelleṣ 35:1.Ɣer akk → s yiwet n lexsara yettwaṛǧantusnaktLexsara yettwaṛǧanAzal yettwaṛǧan seg tmerna n yidrimen yettwarhen; d alemmas n wayen yettwaxsar deg yiwet n tɣimit neɣ deg yiwen wakud.Ɣer akk →. Rrehn ɣef sin wuṭṭunen d abrid n tlemmast agamawan i yimuraren i yebɣan aḥulfu n rrehn agensan war 36 n tuzzyiwin n lexsara gar yal rrbeḥ. D netta daɣen i d azru n rrehn s wawalṭṭablaRrehn s wawalRrehn i yettwanan i ukrupi deg wadeg ad yettwasers s ufus, s umata d rrehn ɣef tegzemt n uḍebsi am voisins neɣ tiers. Daɣen «announced bet».Ɣer akk → tiers du cylindreFR · tagzemtTiers du cylindre«Tulut n uḍebsi»: tnac n wuṭṭunen zdat yilem, seg 27 ɣer 33 ɣef uḍebsi, s sḍis n rrhun ɣef sin wuṭṭunen.Ɣer akk →, i yellan d sḍis n rrhun ɣef sin wuṭṭunen i yeṭṭfen tnac n texxaminibenkanTaxxamtYiwet seg 37 n texxamin s wuṭṭunen ɣef uqerru yettezzin. Daɣen: slot, cup.Ɣer akk → ɣef yiwen wis kraḍ n uḍebsi.
Ɣef uḍebsi
LǧiranrrehnLǧiranYiwen wuṭṭun d snat n texxamin ɣef yal tama-s ɣef uḍebsi, semmus n yijiṭunen ɣef yiwen wuṭṭun.Ɣer akk → ɣef tfelwit n rrhunibenkanTafelwit n rrhunAẓeṭṭa n rrhun yettwarun ɣef ṭṭabla. Daɣen: ṭṭabla, tajellabt, aceṭṭiḍ.Ɣer akk → mačči d lǧiran ɣef uḍebsi. 17-18 llan ɣef snat n tmiwin yemgaraden n uḍebsi (17 gar 25 d 34; 18 gar 22 d 29). Ulac rrehn ɣef sin wuṭṭunen ara yeṭṭfen snat n texxamin yemlalen ɣef uḍebsi; win iqerben ugar d 0-3, s snat n texxamin gar-asent d 26 deg tlemmast. Ɣef uḍebsi amarikani, yiwen kan ur yeḍfir ara alugen-a: 0 yella gar 28 d 2, u 0-2 d rrehn ɣef sin wuṭṭunen ɣef tfelwit tamarikanit. Deg tilawt, rrehn ɣef sin wuṭṭunen d rrehn n tfelwit kan.
Aseqdec afransis
À chevalFR · sin wuṭṭunenChevalIsem afransis n rrehn ɣef sin wuṭṭunen: yiwen ujiṭun ɣef ujerriḍ gar sin wuṭṭunen, ixelleṣ 17:1.Ɣer akk →, «ɣef uɛewdiw»: ajiṭun yeqqim ɣef ujerriḍ am umnay ɣef uɛewdiw. Ikrupiyen ifransisen qeblen awal «cheval douze-quinze» u ssersen-t deg umkan-nwen. Ɣef racetrackṭṭablaRacetrackAɣerdu aqerqur ɣef tfelwiyin srid d tid n tmacinin i d-yesskanen uṭṭunen s umyizwer n uḍebsi, yettwasqedcen i users n rrhun n lǧiran d tegzemt s yiwen usiti.Ɣer akk →, taqeffalt n tiers tessers sḍis n chevaux deg yiwet n tikkelt.
Isteqsiyen
Ɣef tfelwit tamarikanit kan, anda ixelleṣ 17 ɣef 1 u yesɛa lmaziyya n 5,26% am kullec din.
Rrehn n $10 ɣef sin wuṭṭunen d sin n rrhun n $5 ɣef yiwen wuṭṭun ɣef sin-nni n wuṭṭunen d yiwen n rrehn: yiwen n wayen yettwaṭṭfen, yiwen n lexlaṣidrimenLexlaṣAyen i d-yettak rrehn i yerbḥen, yettwanna «X ɣef 1» nnig rrehn i d-yettuɣalen.Ɣer akk →, yiwet n tvaryans.
√(p·17² + (1−p) − EV²) s p = 2/37. Walit asebter n tvaryans.
Urar s tusnakt
Ɛerḍet-tent s yiman-nwen qbel. Yal tifrat tettwaffer; ldit-tt mi ara tilim twejdem.
Ɣef anta uḍebsi, awrupi neɣ amarikani, i yezmer rrehn ɣef sin wuṭṭunenrrehnSin wuṭṭunenSin wuṭṭunen yemyuḍanen, ixelleṣ 17:1.Ɣer akk → ad yeḍebber snat n texxaminibenkanTaxxamtYiwet seg 37 n texxamin s wuṭṭunen ɣef uqerru yettezzin. Daɣen: slot, cup.Ɣer akk → yemlalen ɣef uḍebsi?
Sken-d tifrat
Tiririt Ɣef uḍebsi amarikani kan, u yiwen kan: 0-2.
Ɣef uḍebsi awrupi ilemaḍebsiIlemTaxxamt tazegzawt tasuft ur yeṭṭif ula d yiwen n rrehn s lexlaṣ imsawi, n ddzina neɣ n tgejdit; d aɣbalu n lmaziyya n lkazinu. Daɣen: yiwen yilem, 0.Ɣer akk → yella gar 32 d 26, u rrhun-is ɣef sin wuṭṭunen ɣef tfelwitibenkanTafelwit n rrhunAẓeṭṭa n rrhun yettwarun ɣef ṭṭabla. Daɣen: ṭṭabla, tajellabt, aceṭṭiḍ.Ɣer akk → d 0-1, 0-2 d 0-3. Ula d yiwen seg 57 n rrhun nniḍen ɣef sin wuṭṭunen ur yesdukkul sin n lǧiranrrehnLǧiranYiwen wuṭṭun d snat n texxamin ɣef yal tama-s ɣef uḍebsi, semmus n yijiṭunen ɣef yiwen wuṭṭun.Ɣer akk → n uḍebsi: amyizwer n uḍebsi yettwaxdem akken ad yezreɛ uṭṭunen yemlalen ɣef tfelwit.
Ɣef uḍebsi amarikani ilem yella gar 28 d 2, u 0-2 d rrehn ɣef sin wuṭṭunen ɣef tfelwit tamarikanit. Ilem wis sintawsitSin yilmawenTaxxamt 00 n uḍebsi amarikani. Mi ara tili, lmaziyya n lkazinu tettali seg 2,70% ɣer 5,26%.Ɣer akk → yella gar 1 d 27, maca rrhun-is ɣef sin wuṭṭunen d 00-2, 00-3 d 0-00.
Taḍsa i usgunfu
Deg tlemmast n ujerriḍ. Taɣuri n ukrupi d taneggarut.
Iɣbula
- Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling.