Ifecka · Tamsiḍent

Tamsiḍent n tprubabilit n rulit

Tamsiḍent n tprubabilit n rulit tawrupit: taprubabilit, assaɣ n tidet d lexlaṣ i yal rrehn amagnu.

Rrehn

taprubabilit

1/37 · 2,70%

assaɣ n tidet mgal

36,00 : 1

lkazinu txelleṣ

35 : 1

EV i yal $1

−$0,027

p(ulac rrbeḥ deg 37 n tuzzyiwin)

36,3%

p(≥1 n rrbeḥ deg 37 n tuzzyiwin)

63,7%

Taɣuri n ugmuḍ

Rrehn ɣef yiwen wuṭṭun iḍebber 1 seg 37 n texxamin. Assaɣ n lḥeqq yili d 36,00 ɣef 1; lkazinu txelleṣ 35 ɣef 1. Amgired-nni d lmaziyya n lkazinu n 2,70%, d yiwet i yal rrehn deg wumuɣ.

Tarrayt d tiwtilin

Aḍebsi awrupi, 37 n texxamin s yiwet n tprubabilit, tuzzyiwin timanayin. Alugen n lexlaṣ 36/n − 1. Tiprubabiliyin n yizrar s (1 − p)ᵏ.