Rrhun n rulit · Rrehn s wawal · tagzemt · 6 tsd

Rrehn Orphelins

Orphelins deg rulit yebɣa ad yini «igujilen»: tam n texxamin i d-qqimen seg voisins d tiers.

Tiririt tawezlant

Semmus n yijiṭunen ɣef tam n wuṭṭunen deg sin n yiḥricen: 17-34-6 d 1-20-14-31-9. TaprubabilittusnaktTaprubabilitAzal n yiwen ugmuḍ ad d-yeḍru, seg 0 ɣer 1 neɣ seg 0% ɣer 100%. Yiwen wuṭṭun: 1/37 = 2,70%.Ɣer akk → 21,62%.

yeṭṭef
8 / 37
taprubabilit
21,62%
ijiṭunen
5
agmuḍ ačuran ma yerbeḥ
+13 neɣ +31 n yiferdisen
Ɣef ṭṭabla · 8 n wuṭṭunen
Ɣef uḍebsi
0321519421225173462713361130823105241633120143192218297281235326
0321519421225173462713361130823105241633120143192218297281235326Voisins du zéroOrphelinsTiers du cylindreOrphelins
Aḍebsi s kraḍ n tigezmin
8 n wuṭṭunen21,62% n uḍebsi5 n yijiṭunen
S umyizwer n uḍebsi
1734612014319
Amek ttwasersen yijiṭunen
0123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536
135:16-917:114-1717:117-2017:131-3417:1

Uṭṭunen d yijiṭunen n orphelins

Yiwen rrehn ɣef yiwen wuṭṭunrrehnYiwen wuṭṭunYiwen wuṭṭun kan, ixelleṣ 35:1.Ɣer akk → ɣef 1, d rrhun ɣef sin wuṭṭunenrrehnSin wuṭṭunenSin wuṭṭunen yemyuḍanen, ixelleṣ 17:1.Ɣer akk → ɣef 6-9, 14-17, 17-20, 31-34. Semmus n yijiṭunenidrimenAjiṭunTamatart i d-yemmalen azal yettwasbedden, yettwasersen ɣef tfelwit akken ad yili rrehn. Daɣen: check.Ɣer akk →, tam n texxaminibenkanTaxxamtYiwet seg 37 n texxamin s wuṭṭunen ɣef uqerru yettezzin. Daɣen: slot, cup.Ɣer akk → deg sin n yiḥricen yemfaraqen n uḍebsi: 17 34 6 ɣef yiwet n tama, 1 20 14 31 9 ɣef tayeḍ. Ɛasset belli 17 yella deg sin n rrhun ɣef sin wuṭṭunen, ihi rrbeḥ ɣef 17 ixelleṣ snat n tikkal. Yettwabder s «orphelinsFR · tagzemtOrphelins«Igujilen»: tam n wuṭṭunen i d-yeqqimen deffir voisins d tiers: 17, 34, 6 d 1, 20, 14, 31, 9.Ɣer akk →» (orphelins en chevalFR · sin wuṭṭunenChevalIsem afransis n rrehn ɣef sin wuṭṭunen: yiwen ujiṭun ɣef ujerriḍ gar sin wuṭṭunen, ixelleṣ 17:1.Ɣer akk → mi ara yilin d rrhun ɣef sin wuṭṭunen meṛṛa; «orphelins en pleinFR · yiwen wuṭṭunPleinIsem afransis n rrehn ɣef yiwen wuṭṭun: yiwen ujiṭun ɣef yiwen wuṭṭun, ixelleṣ 35:1.Ɣer akk →» d tawsit nniḍen, s tam n yijiṭunen, meṛṛa d rrhun ɣef yiwen wuṭṭun).

Anda tettruḥu tkurt ɣef orphelins% n tuzzyiwin
rrehn-a yerbeḥ
21,62%
uṭṭun nniḍen
75,68%
ilem
2,70%
% n tuzzyiwin
037,8475,68%

Lexlaṣ n orphelins deg rulit s texxamt

Rrbeḥ ɣef 1 ixelleṣ 35 u ixesser ukkuẓ n yijiṭunen: +31. Rrbeḥ ɣef 17 ixelleṣ 17 snat n tikkal u ixesser kraḍ n yijiṭunen: +31. Rrbeḥ ɣef yal yiwen seg sḍis-nniḍen n wuṭṭunen ixelleṣ 17 u ixesser ukkuẓ n yijiṭunen: +13. Yal lexsara tettawi semmus-nni.

takurt teɣli ɣefixelleṣijiṭunen nniḍen yexsrenagmuḍ ačuran (iferdisen)taprubabilit
1+354+311/37
17+34 (sin n rrhun ɣef sin wuṭṭunen)3+311/37
6 9 14 20 31 34+174+136/37
yal uṭṭun nniḍen05−529/37
EV = (31 + 31 + 6·13 − 29·5)/37 = −5/37 n yiferdisen: 2,70% n semmus.

Akken ma llan

Voisins (17) + tiers (12) + orphelins (8) = 37. Kraḍ-nni n rrhun s wawalṭṭablaRrehn s wawalRrehn i yettwanan i ukrupi deg wadeg ad yettwasers s ufus, s umata d rrehn ɣef tegzemt n uḍebsi am voisins neɣ tiers. Daɣen «announced bet».Ɣer akk → ṭṭfen aḍebsi meṛṛa tikkelt kan swaswa, d ayɣer i asen-qqaren kraḍ n tgezminaḍebsiTagzemtAḥric n texxamin yemmeḍfaren ɣef uḍebsi, mačči d tagrumma ɣef tfelwit.Ɣer akk → u ttwarun akk ɣef racetrackṭṭablaRacetrackAɣerdu aqerqur ɣef tfelwiyin srid d tid n tmacinin i d-yesskanen uṭṭunen s umyizwer n uḍebsi, yettwasqedcen i users n rrhun n lǧiran d tegzemt s yiwen usiti.Ɣer akk →. Ma terhnem ɣef kraḍ-nni deg yiwet n tikkelt, tteṭṭfem yal taxxamt s 20 n yijiṭunen u agmuḍ ad yili yal tikkelt gar −2 d +16 n yiferdisenidrimenAferdisRrehn agejdan s wacu i yettxeddem unagraw neɣ amurar. Inagrawen n usnerni ttwaglamen s yiferdisen akken ad ilin i yal ṭṭabla.Ɣer akk →, s wazal yettwaṛǧantusnaktAzal yettwaṛǧanAlemmas n ugmuḍ n yal rrehn deg uɣawas aɣezfan. −1/37 n rrehn i yal rrehn amagnu awrupi.Ɣer akk → n −20/37: lmaziyyat n kraḍ-nni n rrhun ttemrnant kan.

Ṭṭabla n rulitAzal yettwaṛǧan n rrhun s wawal

Anamek n orphelins deg rulit

Isem-a s wawal-is. Mi i sbedden deg Monte Carlo voisins d tiers, tam n texxamin qqiment war tawacult. Ulac win i yesbedden orphelins; d ayen i d-yeqqimen.

Rulit n Monte Carlo

Ɣef ṭṭabla

«Orphelins, deux pièces» yessers semmus n yijiṭunen n $2. Ɣef racetrack, yiwen usiti yekfa. Acku rrehn-a yesmlal rrehn ɣef yiwen wuṭṭun d rrhun ɣef sin wuṭṭunen, kra n yigrudmawen RNG ttarun-t ddaw «rrhun yemxallafen» deg wadeg n tgezmin.

Rulit srid d rulit RNG

Isteqsiyen

Ayɣer 17 ixelleṣ snat n tikkal?

Yella deg sin n rrhun ɣef sin wuṭṭunen (14-17 d 17-20) acku tafelwit n rrhunibenkanTafelwit n rrhunAẓeṭṭa n rrhun yettwarun ɣef ṭṭabla. Daɣen: ṭṭabla, tajellabt, aceṭṭiḍ.Ɣer akk → tesserser-it gar sin n yigujilen nniḍen.

Orphelins d rrehn yelhan?

2,70%-nni am kullec. D tagzemt i yeṭṭfen drus ugar, ihi d tin yettmuttin ugar deg kraḍ-nni.

Taḍsa i usgunfu

Sbeɛṭac d tnac d tam d sebɛa u tlatin.

Sbeɛṭac d tnac d tam d sebɛa u tlatin.

Iɣbula

  1. Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling. Springer, 2010. Ixef 13, rulit.
  2. Wykes, A. The Complete Illustrated Guide to Gambling. Doubleday, 1964.
yettwasenqed 2026-09-28tamudemt: tawrupit, yiwen yilemtarrayt ↗iɣbula ↗