Lexrafat · Idles · 7 tsd

Uṭṭunen n zzher d lexrafat deg rulit

17 n zzher, 13 n diri, asuḍ ɣef yijiṭunen, werǧin ad yini yiwen «ilem», d wayɣer lexrafat n wurar agacuran d tid yettdumen akk ugar.

Tiririt tawezlant

Rulit tejmeɛ-d sin n leqrun n lɛadat: uṭṭunen yettwasmenyafen, awalen yettwagedlen, imukan d ikrupiyen n zzher, d umenzay belli lwelha tbeddel igmaḍ. Ula d yiwet ur tettḥaz aḍebsi; akk ssawalent-d ɣef yimdanen, kra seg-sent ttɛawanent ad teḥrez tadrimt.

uṭṭun i ɣef rehnen ugar
17
uṭṭun i ɣef rehnen drus
13 (deg Lɣerb)
lɛada taqburt akk
anal n rrehn
ayen yexdem i uḍebsi
ulac

Uṭṭunen n zzher deg rulit

Sbeɛṭac d uṭṭun i ɣef rehnen ugar ɣef yal aḍebsi deg umaḍal: yella deg tlemmast n tfelwit n rrhunibenkanTafelwit n rrhunAẓeṭṭa n rrhun yettwarun ɣef ṭṭabla. Daɣen: ṭṭabla, tajellabt, aceṭṭiḍ.Ɣer akk →, d uṭṭun n Sean Connery deg rrbeḥ n 1963 deg Saint-Vincent i ɣef ssawlen aṭas yiɣmisen (kraḍ n tikkal yeṭṭafaren s 35:1, akken qqaren), yerna yella deg tlemmast n voisins. Tlaṭṭac ttbeɛɛiden fell-as deg Lɣerb, ttnadin fell-as deg kra n tmiwa n Ṭelyan. Tam yettwasmenyaf sɣur imuraren Icinwiyen, 4 ttbeɛɛiden fell-as. Ussan n tlalit d nutni i d-yettaken tugget n wiyaḍ, d ayɣer 1–31 ttwarehnen ugar n 32–36. Ulac uṭṭunen n rulit yifen wiyaḍ: yal uṭṭun yesɛa yiwet n taprubabilit, yerna aḍebsi ixelleṣ 35:1 ɣef yal yiwen.

uṭṭunayɣeranida
17talemmast n tfelwit; taqsiḍt n Connery; voisinsanda yebɣu yili
13n diri deg Lɣerb; n zzher deg Ṭelyanttbeɛɛiden fell-as neɣ ttnadin fell-as ɣef leḥsab n tmurt
8yettcabi ɣer «tamerna» s tcinwitMakaw, Singapur, imuraren n Asya
4yettcabi ɣer «lmut» s tcinwitttbeɛɛiden fell-as deg yissuqen-nni
7n zzher deg lɛada n Lɣerbanda yebɣu yili
0«uṭṭun n lkazinu»yettwarhen am leḍman, neɣ ttbeɛɛiden fell-as am zzher n diri
1–31ussan n tlalit d yimurasanda yebɣu yili; 32–36 ttwarehnen drus

Rrehn Voisins du ZéroUgur: aḍebsi n wass n tlalit

Lɛadat

Asuḍ ɣef yijiṭunenidrimenAjiṭunTamatart i d-yemmalen azal yettwasbedden, yettwasersen ɣef tfelwit akken ad yili rrehn. Daɣen: check.Ɣer akk →, anal n rrehn deffir aserser-is, aserser n yijiṭunen s umyizwer yettwasbedden, war tamuɣli ɣer tkurtibenkanTakurtTakurt tamecṭuḥt i yettwaḍeqqren deg ubrid mgal aqerru yettezzin. Tikurin n tura d ivorine neɣ d Teflon, 18–21 mm.Ɣer akk →, tamuɣli ɣer tkurt, tasusmi deg tuzzya, «yya azeggaɣrrehnAzeggaɣRrehn s lexlaṣ imsawi ɣef 18 n wuṭṭunen izeggaɣen. S tefransist: rouge.Ɣer akk →» deg tuzzya. Ikrupiyen walan-tent akk, sɛan tid-nsen: kra ur qqaren ara awal «ilemaḍebsiIlemTaxxamt tazegzawt tasuft ur yeṭṭif ula d yiwen n rrehn s lexlaṣ imsawi, n ddzina neɣ n tgejdit; d aɣbalu n lmaziyya n lkazinu. Daɣen: yiwen yilem, 0.Ɣer akk →» s taɣect uqbel tuzzya, kra ttenṭiḍen seg yiwen wadeg n uḍar. Ula d yiwet ur tbeddel tafizikt. Kra seg-sent ttbeddilent amurar: lɛada tessaẓay tunnḍa, terra rrehn s lmeɛna, ayen ur nesɛi diri, yettnfiɛ seg wakud ɣer wayeḍ.

Ikrupiyen ɣef yinagrawen

Ikrupiyen, imukan d ṭṭwabel n zzher

Imuraren ttḍafaren ikrupiyen i yid-sen rebḥen, qqimen deg wadeg anda sɛan zzher, ttbeɛɛiden ɣef ṭṭwabel anda xesren. Lkazinu ttbeddilent ikrupiyen, ssnent anwi imukan i d «n zzher» (wid iqerben ɣer tfelwit, anda qqimen yimdanen ugar, ihi rebḥen ugar s umḍan). Tamuɣli n tzmamt n ukrupi deg Tanarit d lqem yettwaqadren n «ukrupi n zzher», yerna ula d nettat ur teṣmid ara i yikayaden.

Acḥal n tikkal i ɣef yettwarhen yal uṭṭun, mgal alemmas (d amedya)× alemmas
17
≈ 2,2×
7
≈ 1,6×
8 (issuqen n Asya)
≈ 1,8×
23, 24
≈ 1,3×
32–36
≈ 0,6×
13 (issuqen n Lɣerb)
≈ 0,5×
× alemmas
01,10≈ 2,2×
Ayen yettwalan deg tzeqqa n lkazinu yemgarad; udem yeqqim d yiwen. Lexlaṣ deg yal ajerriḍ d 35:1, taprubabilit d 1/37.

Tazmamt n ukrupi

Ayɣer lexrafat ttnernint da

Igmaḍ igacuranen s rrhun imeqqranen d anida tettnerni lexrafa s tɣawla akk: ulac tamusni ara yettwalmed, ihi allaɣ yettak-d lɛadat deg umkan-is, yal rrbeḥ yessebgan ayen akk yettwaxedmen uqbel-is. Skinner yessufeɣ-d yiwen ugmuḍ ɣer yitbir s tmacint n wučči s usrag. Rulit d tamacint n wučči s usrag s lebsa yettwasbedden.

Tamacint n wučči n Skinner s usrag tessɣelli-d aɛeqqa, yal itbir yettɛawad lɛada-s.

Yiwet kan n lexrafa ilaqen ad teqqim

Imuraren i yeqqaren belli «werǧin ḍefren lexsara» yerna ttwalin iḍ n lexsara d tazmilt n tuffɣa sɛan lexrafa i d-yemlalen d leḥsab. Ḥerzet tin. Tiyaḍ, ula d uṭṭunen n zzher n rulit, ttilint baṭel, ur sɛint diri, ur awen-d-qqarent acemma ɣef tuzzya d-iteddun.

Isteqsiyen

Rrehn ɣef wuṭṭun yettwassnen ibeddel kra?

Mačči taprubabilit. Deg Internet, ula d acemma. Deg tzeqqa, uṭṭun yettwassnen yebɣa ad yini ugar n yifassen i yettaweḍen ɣer yiwet n texxamt.

Connery s tidet yeṭṭef 17 kraḍ n tikkal?

Ssawlen-d fell-as aṭas yiɣmisen; lkazinu n Saint-Vincent tenna-d belli yella rrbeḥ ameqqran. Kraḍ yeṭṭafaren s 1/37 yal yiwen d 1 seg 50 653, ayen yeḍran i waṭas n yimdanen seg wakud-nni.

Ilem d zzher n diri?

D lmaziyya n lkazinutusnaktLmaziyya n lkazinuAḥric n yal rrehn i teṭṭef lkazinu s ulemmas: 2,70% deg rulit tawrupit.Ɣer akk →, i d zzher n diri s unamek yettwaḥeddan n 2,70%.

Taḍsa i usgunfu

Yal rrbeḥ yessebgan ayen akk txedmem uqbel-is.

Yal rrbeḥ yessebgan ayen akk txedmem uqbel-is.

Iɣbula

  1. Skinner, B. F. “‘Superstition’ in the pigeon.” Journal of Experimental Psychology 38, 1948.
  2. Schwartz, D. G. Roll the Bones: The History of Gambling. Gotham, 2006.
  3. Wykes, A. The Complete Illustrated Guide to Gambling. Doubleday, 1964.
yettwasenqed 2026-09-28tamudemt: tawrupit, yiwen yilemtarrayt ↗iɣbula ↗