Lexsara yettwaṛǧan

Amḍan n rrhun meṛṛa, mačči agerruj

Lexsara yettwaṛǧantusnaktLexsara yettwaṛǧanAzal yettwaṛǧan seg tmerna n yidrimen yettwarhen; d alemmas n wayen yettwaxsar deg yiwet n tɣimit neɣ deg yiwen wakud.Ɣer akk → teqqen ɣer wacḥal i yettɛeddin ɣef ṭṭabla, mačči ɣer wacḥal i d-tewwim. AgerrujidrimenAgerrujAkk idrimen yettwaǧǧan i wurar. Asefrek n ugerruj d tagrut: acḥal seg-s ara tesrem i yal rrehn d yal taɣimit.Ɣer akk → n $100 yettwarehnen aṭas n tikkal yezmer ad yawi $2 000 n umḍan n rrhun meṛṛaidrimenAmḍan n rrhun meṛṛaTamerna n yidrimen yettwarhen deg yiwet n tɣimit neɣ deg yiwen wakud, s rrbeḥ i yettuɣalen yettwarhen. Daɣen: handle, action.Ɣer akk → d $54 n lexsara yettwaṛǧan; agerruj n $10 000 yettwarehnen yiwet n tikkelt ɣef uzeggaɣrrehnAzeggaɣRrehn s lexlaṣ imsawi ɣef 18 n wuṭṭunen izeggaɣen. S tefransist: rouge.Ɣer akk → yettawi $10 000 n umḍan n rrhun meṛṛa d $270. Idrimen i d-ikeččmen ɣer lkazinu d tabzert ɣef usikel, yerna asikel d yal ajiṭunidrimenAjiṭunTamatart i d-yemmalen azal yettwasbedden, yettwasersen ɣef tfelwit akken ad yili rrehn. Daɣen: check.Ɣer akk → deg yal tuzzya.

Tasemselt

E[lexsara] = Σ rrhun / 37. I umurar s rrehn ur nettbeddil, d adrim × tuzzyiwin / 37. I unagraw n usnernitastratijitAnagraw n usnerniYal alugen i yettbeddilen rrehn ɣef leḥsab n yigmaḍ yezrin. Asnerni deffir lexsara yessali-t deffir lexsara, asnerni deffir rrbeḥ deffir rrbeḥ.Ɣer akk →, d alemmas n udrim × tuzzyiwin / 37, yerna alemmas n udrim yugar rrehn n tazwara, acku rrhun ttalin deg tallitin n lexsara. MartingaletastratijitMartingaleAnagraw n usnerni i yessneggmen rrehn deffir yal lexsara. Walit taggayt n tstratijit i wayen i yettxemmem d wayen ur yettxemmim ara.Ɣer akk → seg $10 n tazwara s talast n $500 tesɛa alemmas n qrib $28 i tuzzya deg teɣimit taɣezfant, ihi texser qrib kraḍ n tikkal ugar n rrehn ur nettbeddil n $10, war ma tbeddel taprubabilit n yal rrehn.

Tastratijit n rrehn ur nettbeddil

Tazrit

Ṭṭwabel srid ttxeddment 40–60 n tuzzyiwin deg tsaɛett, tizeqqawin n lkazinu 30–50, ṭṭwabel tizrit 90 neɣ ugar, ṭṭwabel RNG s tɣawla n usiti-nwen. S yiwen udrim n rrehn, tazrit d nettat i yettḥazen ugar akk lexsara yettwaṛǧan i tsaɛett: abeddel seg ṭṭabla tasmaẓayt n tzeqqa ɣer ṭṭabla RNG s 200 n tuzzyiwin deg tsaɛett yessgutut ssuma n tmeddit s ukkuẓ war ma tbeddel taprubabilit.

Rulit srid d rulit RNG

Deg useggas

Amurar n yal ass i yetturaren snat n tsaɛtin deg ddurt s $10 ɣef ṭṭabla srid n 50 n tuzzyiwin yewweḍ amḍan n rrhun meṛṛa n $52 000 deg useggas, ixelleṣ qrib $1 400 n lexsara yettwaṛǧan ɣef uḍebsi awrupi, $700 ɣef wafransis, $2 700 ɣef umarikani. Leḥsab d asemmaḍ, tagrayt mačči d tasemmaḍt: afran n uḍebsi d ṭṭabla yugar yal anagraw s usgut n war taggara, acku inagrawen azal-nsen d ilemaḍebsiIlemTaxxamt tazegzawt tasuft ur yeṭṭif ula d yiwen n rrehn s lexlaṣ imsawi, n ddzina neɣ n tgejdit; d aɣbalu n lmaziyya n lkazinu. Daɣen: yiwen yilem, 0.Ɣer akk → s timmad-is.

Urar yugaren yal lbanka

Urar n St. Petersburg, i d-yessumer Nicolaus Bernoulli deg 1713, yeḍeqqer aṣurdi alamma yeɣli ɣef uqerru, ixelleṣ $2 ma yella yiwen uḍeqqer, $4 ma sin, $8 ma kraḍ, s sin yal tikkelt. Yal teɣzi tettarnu $1 i wazal yettwaṛǧantusnaktAzal yettwaṛǧanAlemmas n ugmuḍ n yal rrehn deg uɣawas aɣezfan. −1/37 n rrehn i yal rrehn amagnu awrupi.Ɣer akk →, ihi ɣef lkaɣeḍ urar yesɛa azal war taggara. Ulac lbanka i yezmren ad txelleṣ arraz war taggara, yerna mi ara ttwaḥeddden warraz ɣer wayen i tesɛa lbanka, azal yeɣli: s lbanka n $1 n umelyun urar yesɛa azal n qrib $21, s $1 n umelyar qrib $31. Martingale d yiwen wurar yettwalan seg tama nniḍen. Tettarbaḥ yiwen uferdisidrimenAferdisRrehn agejdan s wacu i yettxeddem unagraw neɣ amurar. Inagrawen n usnerni ttwaglamen s yiferdisen akken ad ilin i yal ṭṭabla.Ɣer akk → qrib deg yal tunnḍa, tettxesser kullec deg wazrar aɣezfan yettwafen qlil; war talast, izrar iɣezfanen ad ttwaxellṣen s yirbaḥen yettimɣuren, s talast ur ttwaxellṣen ara, d ayɣer talast n ṭṭablaṭṭablaTalast n ṭṭablaRrehn adday d rrehn afellay i yettwasirgen. Talast tafellayt d ayen i yeḥebsen inagrawen n usnegmu.Ɣer akk → tettfru amek ara terreẓ Martingale, mačči ma ad terreẓ.

Tilisa n ṭṭabla n rulit

Lexsara yettwaṛǧan mačči d agmuḍ

Yal taɣimit ad temgarad ɣef lexsara-s yettwaṛǧan, s waṭas s wugar n lexsara yettwaṛǧan s timmad-is. Deg 100 n tuzzyiwin s lexlaṣ imsawi s $10, abeɛɛed alugantusnaktAbeɛɛed aluganAẓar amkuẓ n tavaryans; ameccaq n umata gar ugmuḍ d wazal yettwaṛǧan.Ɣer akk → d $100 mgal −$27 yettwaṛǧan; taɣimit n rrbeḥ ur tesweḥcay ara. Lexsara yettwaṛǧan d ssuma; tavaryanstusnaktTavaryansAktazal n wamek i d-ttwazzaren igmaḍ i tama n wazal yettwaṛǧan. Meqqret i rrehn ɣef yiwen wuṭṭun, meẓẓiyet i rrhun s lexlaṣ imsawi.Ɣer akk → d akemmus; agmuḍ deg yiwen yiḍ d tagrumma n yiwen.

Tasemselt

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