Rrhun · Rrehn agensan · plein

Rrehn ɣef yiwen wuṭṭun

Rrehn ɣef yiwen wuṭṭun deg rulit yessers ajiṭun ɣef yiwen wuṭṭun. D rrbeḥ ur nettili ara aṭas ɣef ṭṭabla, d lexlaṣ ameqqran akk, s yiwet n lmaziyya n lkazinu n 2,70% am wiyaḍ meṛṛa.

iḍebber
1 / 37
taprubabilit
2,70%
ixelleṣ
35:1
lmaziyya n lkazinu
2,70%
EV i yal $1
−$0,027
SD i yal $1
5,84
Ɣef ṭṭabla · amedya: 17
Ɣef uḍebsi · gar 25 d 34
0321519421225173462713361130823105241633120143192218297281235326

Lexlaṣ d tprubabilit n rrehn ɣef yiwen wuṭṭun

Yiwet n texxamt seg 37 i yettrebḥen: 1/37, neɣ 2,70%. Lkazinu txelleṣ 35:1. Lexlaṣ n lḥeqq ɣef 37 n texxamin yili d 36:1; aferdis-nni yexuṣṣen d lmaziyya n lkazinu.

p(rrbeḥ) = 1/37 = 0,0270
EV i yal $1 = (1/37)(35) − (36/37)(1) = −1/37 = −$0,0270

Amedya n rrehn

adrim n rrehn$10 ɣef 17
ma yeffeɣ-d 17 (1/37)+$350 n rrbeḥ, rrehn yuɣal-d
ma yeffeɣ-d wayeḍ (36/37)−$10
agmuḍ yettwaṛǧan i yal tuzzya−$0,27

Tavaryans

Lexsara yettwaṛǧan d yiwet am uzeggaɣ, maca azerreɛ n yigmaḍ mačči d yiwen. I yal adular yettwarehnen, rrehn ɣef yiwen wuṭṭun yesɛa abeɛɛed alugan n qrib 5,84 mgal 1,00 i rrehn s lexlaṣ imsawi. Deg 100 n tuzzyiwin s $10, amurar n uzeggaɣ s umata yella daxel n ±$100 ɣef wayen yettwaṛǧan; amurar n yiwen wuṭṭun s umata yella daxel n ±$584.

yiwen wuṭṭun
5,84
tiɣmert (4)
2,84
azeggaɣ (18)
1,00

Tulmisin

  • Agmuḍ n tlemmast n teɣimit d lexsara i yettkemmilen; alemmas yettali s rrbeḥ n 35:1 ur nettili ara yal ass.
  • Arraǧu yettwaṛǧan n rrbeḥ d 37 n tuzzyiwin, u yettɣezzif ugar n wayen i ɣillen tuget n medden: deffir 37 n tuzzyiwin mazal taprubabilit n 36% ulac rrbeḥ.
  • Talast tadday i rrhun igensanen, s umata, d tadday ugar i yal ajiṭun, maca s waṭas n tikkal yella wamatu adday ɣef rrhun igensanen meṛṛa.
  • Rrehn ɣef yiwen wuṭṭun deg rulit qqaren-as plein deg lkazinu s tewsit tafransist.

Taḍsa i usgunfu

Yiwet n lexsara yettwaṛǧan am uzeggaɣ, s uzerreɛ yugaren aṭas.

Yiwet n lexsara yettwaṛǧan am uzeggaɣ, s uzerreɛ yugaren aṭas.