Tistratijiyin n rrhun deg rulit · S telqayt · 7 tsd

Talast n lexsara / talast n rrbeḥ

Alugen n uḥbas d yiwen kan n uḥric n «unagraw» i ibeddlen kra s tidet, acku ibeddel acḥal ara terhnem.

Tiririt tawezlant

Aḥbas zik yessenqas amatu yettwarehnen, ihi yessenqas lexsara yettwaṛǧan. Ur d-yettak ara lmaziyya; talast n rrbeḥ ur «tqeffel» acemma ur tezmir ara tuzzya i d-iteddun ad t-id-tefk neɣ ad t-tekkes.

ayen ibeddel deg EV / $
ulac
ayen ibeddel deg wamatu yettwarehnen
ameqqran
ayen ibeddel deg tavaryans
ameqqran
anwa i yettafren
kunwi, uqbel

Talast n lexsara

Sbeddet azal i tqeblem ad tesruḥem u ruḥet mi ara yekfu. Iḥedd tagnit akk tamcumt, yessekfay taɣimit uqbel ad yebdu uḍfar n lexsara, u yerra ssuma yettwaṛǧan n yiḍ d tin yettwaḥsaben: ur tettɛeddi ara akk talast n lexsaratastratijitTalast n lexsaraAzal n lexsara yettwasbedden send, anda ara tfakkem taɣimit.Ɣer akk →, s waṭas tella ddaw-s. Seg yilugan akk n usmel-a, d netta i ibeddlen s tidet ayen yeḍran i umurar, acku d netta kan i yessekfayen taɣimit s tidet.

Talast n rrbeḥ

Sbeddet iswi u ruḥet mi ara t-tawwḍem. Terra tiɣimiyin n rrbeḥ ttilint s waṭas u d timecṭuḥin. Deg waṭas n tɣimiyin, alemmas mazal d −2,70% n umḍan n rrhun meṛṛaidrimenAmḍan n rrhun meṛṛaTamerna n yidrimen yettwarhen deg yiwet n tɣimit neɣ deg yiwen wakud, s rrbeḥ i yettuɣalen yettwarhen. Daɣen: handle, action.Ɣer akk →; tbeddlem kan melmi i d-ttasent lexsarat, ur tent-tekksem ara. Awal «aqeffel n rrbeḥ» yeglem-d aḥulfu. Tuzzya i d-iteddun tella yal tikkelt d 18/37 ama turarem-tt iḍ-a ama ddurt i d-iteddun.

$10 ɣef uzeggaɣ, tadrimt $500, 100 n tuzzyiwin ugar ur yelliwar aḥbastalast n lexsara $100talast n rrbeḥ $100snat-nni
tiɣimiyin i yekfan s rrbeḥ≈ 42%≈ 42%≈ 53%≈ 50%
agmuḍ alemmas−$27−$22−$20−$16
5% n tɣimiyin akk tucmiḍin−$190−$100−$190−$100
5% n tɣimiyin akk yelhan+$140+$140+$100+$100
alemmas n tuzzyiwin yettwaurar100≈ 85≈ 75≈ 60
Tasimulasyunt. Tilisa ssenqasent alemmas n lexsara kan s usenqes n tuzzyiwin. Lexsara i yal tuzzya ur tettbeddil ara.

Amennuɣ aqdim

Ma yella aḥbas mi ara tilim s rrbeḥ yettɛawan, d ayen i ɣef mmeslayen aṭas n wakud. Amussnaw n tmeẓla John Venn yenna-d belli amurar i yettafren weḥd-s melmi ara yeḥbes yesɛa lmaziyya, ma yella ttrusi ur tesɛi talast. Lord Rayleigh yerra-yas belli s yidrimen s talast seg tama n sin-nni lmaziyya tettruḥu, u ilugan n tusnakt n tura mṣadan: ulac alugen n melmi ara teḥbsem ara ibeddlen agmuḍ alemmas i yal aferdisidrimenAferdisRrehn agejdan s wacu i yettxeddem unagraw neɣ amurar. Inagrawen n usnerni ttwaglamen s yiferdisen akken ad ilin i yal ṭṭabla.Ɣer akk → yettwarehnen (Epstein, 2013). Tafransist tesɛa tanfalit i tuffɣa n ṭṭabla s rrbeḥ, faire Charlemagne. Tesemma-d ansay, mačči lmaziyya.

John Venn yenna-d belli amurar i yettafren melmi ara yeḥbes yesɛa lmaziyya; Lord Rayleigh yerra-yas belli s yidrimen s talast tettruḥu.

Acuɣer alemmas yettif

Mačči acku aḥbas yufa-d tallit yelhan i tuffɣa. Acku taɣimit i yekfan deffir 60 n tuzzyiwin tessers 60 n yedrimen n rrehn deg wadeg n 100 u txelleṣ 2,70% ɣef drus n yidularen. Yal alugen i yessenqasen amḍan n rrhun meṛṛa yessenqas lexsara yettwaṛǧantusnaktLexsara yettwaṛǧanAzal yettwaṛǧan seg tmerna n yidrimen yettwarhen; d alemmas n wayen yettwaxsar deg yiwet n tɣimit neɣ deg yiwen wakud.Ɣer akk → s yiwen wassaɣ iṣeḥḥan: talast n lexsara, talast n rrbeḥtastratijitTalast n rrbeḥIswi n rrbeḥ yettwasbedden send, anda ara tfakkem taɣimit.Ɣer akk →, talast n wakud, amḍan n tuzzyiwin neɣ kan adrim n rrehn amecṭuḥ ugar.

Afran n wuṭṭunen

Talast n lexsara n 20–40% n tedrimt n tɣimit tettaǧǧa iḍ amcum ad yettwaḥmel war ma teḍyeq aṭas armi tavaryanstusnaktTavaryansAktazal n wamek i d-ttwazzaren igmaḍ i tama n wazal yettwaṛǧan. Meqqret i rrehn ɣef yiwen wuṭṭun, meẓẓiyet i rrhun s lexlaṣ imsawi.Ɣer akk → tamagnut ad tt-teṭṭef deg ugar n yiḍan. Talast n rrbeḥ n 20–50% n tedrimt tettwaweḍ deg tɣimit tamagnut (lexlaṣ imsawi yettaweḍ +$100 seg $500 deg kra n tallit deg wazal n wazgen n tɣimiyin n 100 n tuzzyiwin) war ma tella d ayen fessusen aṭas. Uṭṭunen d ayen n yal yiwen; maca ilaq i yal yiwen ad ten-yaru.

Mraw n tɣimiyin n $10; talast n lexsara n $100 tili tessekfa zik wid yeɣlinagmuḍ mgal tazwara
+$420$0−$500+$140−$2500125250375500tuzzyiwinagmuḍ
1 000 n tɣimiyin × 500 n tuzzyiwin · amidadi p10/p25/p75/p90, anili afsas azal n tlemmast, 83 n yimedyaten ifsasen · sekcmet taɣerdayt deg udlif i yiswiren n yal tuzzya
  • p10 −$460
  • p25 −$300
  • azal n tlemmast −$140
  • p75 +$0
  • p90 +$140
1 000 n tɣimiyin × 500 n tuzzyiwin · agellus y yettwagzem ɣer yiswiren 1–99 (seg uzal amecṭuḥ akk −$500 ar umeqqran akk +$640) · 500 n tuzzyiwin · tazwara $10 · lexlaṣ imsawi

Alugen n yilugan

Alugen n uḥbas yeddu kan ma yettwafren uqbel taɣimit u ur yettwabeddel ara deg-s. «Yiwet kan n tuzzya nniḍen akken ad uɣaleɣ ɣer ulac rrbeḥ ulac lexsara» d talast n lexsara i d-yettɛawad ad tt-yemsefham umdan i wumi tettwaxdem akken ad t-tḥareb. Ma twalam aya yeḍra, ssenqset adrim n rrehn deg wadeg ad tessalim talast.

Isteqsiyen

Talast n rrbeḥ teɣleb lkazinu?

Ala. Terra rrbeḥ amecṭuḥ yettili s waṭas u teǧǧa alemmas deg uɣawas aɣezfan ɣef −2,70% n wayen terhnem.

Talast n wakud telha am talast n lexsara?

Tessenqas amḍan n rrhun meṛṛa s yiwen ubrid u fessus ugar ad tettwaḥrez. Sseqdacet snat-nni.

Ma wwḍeɣ talast n rrbeḥ zik?

Ruḥet. D wa i d alugen. Tuzzyiwin ur turarem ara ur kellfent acemma.

Taḍsa i usgunfu

Aḥbas yessenqas amḍan n rrhun meṛṛa. D aya kan i yexdem, u yekfa.

Aḥbas yessenqas amḍan n rrhun meṛṛa. D aya kan i yexdem, u yekfa.

Iɣbula

  1. RouletteDoc. Tamuɣli s umata ɣef tistratijiyin n rulit. https://roulettedoc.com/strategy
  2. Roulette77. Tamuɣli s umata ɣef tistratijiyin n rulit. https://roulette77.us/strategies
  3. Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling. Springer, 2010. Ixef 13, rulit.
  4. Epstein, R. A. The Theory of Gambling and Statistical Logic, 2nd ed. Academic Press, 2013.
yettwasenqed 2026-09-28tamudemt: tawrupit, yiwen yilemtarrayt ↗iɣbula ↗