Rrhun igensanen d rrhun izɣarayen deg rulit
Rrhun igensanen mgal rrhun izɣarayen deg rulit: snat n twaculin n rrhun, yiwet n lmaziyya n lkazinutusnaktLmaziyya n lkazinuAḥric n yal rrehn i teṭṭef lkazinu s ulemmas: 2,70% deg rulit tawrupit.Ɣer akk →.
Rrhun igensanen ṭṭfen seg yiwen ar sḍis n wuṭṭunen u xellṣen seg 5:1 ar 35:1. Rrhun izɣarayen ṭṭfen tnac neɣ tmanṭac n wuṭṭunen u xellṣen 2:1 neɣ 1:1.
D acu-ten rrhun igensanen deg rulit?
Yiwen wuṭṭunrrehnYiwen wuṭṭunYiwen wuṭṭun kan, ixelleṣ 35:1.Ɣer akk →, sin wuṭṭunenrrehnSin wuṭṭunenSin wuṭṭunen yemyuḍanen, ixelleṣ 17:1.Ɣer akk →, izirigrrehnIzirigKraḍ n wuṭṭunen deg yiwen ujerriḍ n tfelwit, ixelleṣ 11:1. S tefransist: transversale.Ɣer akk →, tiɣmertrrehnTiɣmertUkkuẓ n wuṭṭunen yesɛan yiwet n tɣemert tamcerkt ɣef tfelwit, ixelleṣ 8:1.Ɣer akk → d sin yizirigenrrehnSin yizirigenSḍis n wuṭṭunen deg sin yijerriḍen yemyuḍanen, ixelleṣ 5:1. S tefransist: sixain.Ɣer akk → llan akk daxel n uẓeṭṭa n wuṭṭunen. Rebḥen drus u xellṣen aṭas. Rrehn ɣef yiwen wuṭṭun yettrebḥ yiwet n tuzzya seg 37 s ulemmas u ixelleṣ 35 ɣef 1; sin yizirigen rebḥen yiwet seg sḍis u xellṣen 5 ɣef 1. Talast tadday n ṭṭabla s umata tettwasnas ɣef umatu n yijiṭunenidrimenAjiṭunTamatart i d-yemmalen azal yettwasbedden, yettwasersen ɣef tfelwit akken ad yili rrehn. Daɣen: check.Ɣer akk →-nwen igensanen, ihi semmus n yijiṭunen n $1 ɣef semmus n wuṭṭunen kfan i talast tadday n $5.
Tarmit-a tettedu s yizrar. Amurar n yiwen wuṭṭun yezmer ad iɛeddi 70 n tuzzyiwin war ma yerbeḥ (taprubabilittusnaktTaprubabilitAzal n yiwen ugmuḍ ad d-yeḍru, seg 0 ɣer 1 neɣ seg 0% ɣer 100%. Yiwen wuṭṭun: 1/37 = 2,70%.Ɣer akk → n 15% akka) syin ad d-yawi $350 s ujiṭun n $10. Lexsara yettwaṛǧantusnaktLexsara yettwaṛǧanAzal yettwaṛǧan seg tmerna n yidrimen yettwarhen; d alemmas n wayen yettwaxsar deg yiwet n tɣimit neɣ deg yiwen wakud.Ɣer akk → deg 70-nni n tuzzyiwin d $19; agmuḍ n tidet yezmer ad yili anida yebɣu seg −$700 ar +$1 000.
D acu-ten rrhun izɣarayen deg rulit?
DdzinatrrehnDdzina1–12, 13–24 neɣ 25–36, ixelleṣ 2:1.Ɣer akk →, tigejdarrehnTagejditTnac n wuṭṭunen deg yiwet n tgejdit tubdidt n tfelwit, ixelleṣ 2:1.Ɣer akk →, azeggaɣrrehnAzeggaɣRrehn s lexlaṣ imsawi ɣef 18 n wuṭṭunen izeggaɣen. S tefransist: rouge.Ɣer akk →, aberkanrrehnAberkanRrehn s lexlaṣ imsawi ɣef 18 n wuṭṭunen iberkanen. S tefransist: noir.Ɣer akk →, aryan, uyug, afellay d adday llan deg tɣerfin i d-yezzin i uẓeṭṭa. Rebḥen s waṭas u xellṣen drus: 2 ɣef 1 i ddzina, lexlaṣ imsawi i wiyaḍ. Yal yiwen ilaq ad yawweḍ talast tadday n ṭṭabla iman-is. Tarmit-a d tahwant: taɣimit n rrhun ɣef uzeggaɣ tettali u tettadar s kra n rrhun, u tfukk, s ulemmas, s 2,70% n umḍan n rrhun meṛṛaidrimenAmḍan n rrhun meṛṛaTamerna n yidrimen yettwarhen deg yiwet n tɣimit neɣ deg yiwen wakud, s rrbeḥ i yettuɣalen yettwarhen. Daɣen: handle, action.Ɣer akk → n lexsara.
Ayen yettbeddilen, ayen ur nettbeddil ara
Tuzzra n yigmaḍ tettbeddil akk gar snat-nni n twaculin. Alemmas ur yettbeddil ara. Sin-nni nqesen ɣef wassaɣ n tidet s 1/37 n rrehn swaswa, ihi deg waṭas n tuzzyiwin sin-nni xesren 2,70% n wayen meṛṛa yettwarehnen. Tafelwit-a ddaw tesskan yiwet n tɣimit n $10 d 100 n tuzzyiwin s sin-nni; agmuḍ yettwaṛǧan kif kif, ma d tilisa timagnutin ttwasseɛfent sḍis n tikkal ugar i yiwen wuṭṭun.
Amek ara tefrenem rrehn deg rulit: s tarmit, mačči s lmaziyya
Ma tebɣam taɣimit tazegrart s tmuttiyin timecṭaḥ, rrhun izɣarayenrrehnRrehn azɣarayRrehn ɣef yiferdisen i d-yezzin i uẓeṭṭa: ddzinat, tigejda d rrhun s lexlaṣ imsawi.Ɣer akk → s rrehn amecṭuḥ ad awen-tt-id-fken. Ma tebɣam taprubabilit n rrbeḥ ameqqran u tqeblem taprubabilit tameqqrant n lexsara n tedrimt meṛṛa, rrhun igensanenrrehnRrehn agensanYal rrehn yettwasersen ɣef wuṭṭunen n uẓeṭṭa neɣ gar-asen: yiwen wuṭṭun, sin wuṭṭunen, izirig, tiɣmert, sin yizirigen.Ɣer akk → ad awen-t-id-fken. Ulac win yifen wayeḍ deg tmusni. Tifrat kan i ibeddlen lexsara-nwen yettwaṛǧan d rrehn, tuzzyiwin, d ma tettak-d ṭṭabla la partagealugenLa partageAlugen afransis: mi ara d-yeffeɣ yilem, azgen n rrehn s lexlaṣ imsawi yettuɣal-d. Yessenqas lmaziyya n lkazinu ɣef rrhun-a ɣer uzgen, d 1,35%.Ɣer akk →.
- p10 −$420
- p25 −$280
- azal n tlemmast −$120
- p75 +$20
- p90 +$140
Asemlili n twaculin
Aṭas n yimuraren ttsemlilen rrhun igensanen d yizɣarayen deg rulit: kra n yiwen wuṭṭun am tikiṭ n lluṭu, d uzeggaɣ i usikel. Acku azalen yettwaṛǧantusnaktAzal yettwaṛǧanAlemmas n ugmuḍ n yal rrehn deg uɣawas aɣezfan. −1/37 n rrehn i yal rrehn amagnu awrupi.Ɣer akk → ttwarnan, asemlili-a yesɛa lexsara yettwaṛǧan n 2,70% n umatu d tavaryanstusnaktTavaryansAktazal n wamek i d-ttwazzaren igmaḍ i tama n wazal yettwaṛǧan. Meqqret i rrehn ɣef yiwen wuṭṭun, meẓẓiyet i rrhun s lexlaṣ imsawi.Ɣer akk → yellan gar snat-nni. Afecku «Abennay n rrhun» yessaḍen-iten i yal asemlili.
- p10 −$500
- p25 −$500
- azal n tlemmast −$500
- p75 +$40
- p90 +$1 480
Isteqsiyen
Rrhun izɣarayen, acku tadrimt tettqima aṭas akken ad twalim amek yeddu wurar. Mačči acku xesren drus i yal dular.
Lkazinu smenyafent amḍan n rrhun meṛṛa. Rrhun izɣarayen s zzerb ssnernayen-t ugar, d ayɣer i yas-ttakent ṭṭablat tizrit azal.
S umata ala. Amatu-nwen agensan d yal rrehn azɣaray ttwasenqaden yal yiwen iman-is ɣer talast tadday n rulit.
Urar s tusnakt
Ɛerḍet-tent s yiman-nwen qbel. Yal tifrat tettwaffer; ldit-tt mi ara tilim twejdem.
Tsersem $10 ɣef uzeggaɣrrehnAzeggaɣRrehn s lexlaṣ imsawi ɣef 18 n wuṭṭunen izeggaɣen. S tefransist: rouge.Ɣer akk → d $1 ɣef 17, i yellan d aberkanrrehnAberkanRrehn s lexlaṣ imsawi ɣef 18 n wuṭṭunen iberkanen. S tefransist: noir.Ɣer akk →, i yiwet n tuzzya n uḍebsi awrupi. Arut ayen i yezmren ad yeḍru d acḥal i tteklifen sin-nni n rrhun s ulemmas. Syin xedmet akken i $10 ɣef uzeggaɣ d $10 ɣef uberkan.
Sken-d tifrat
Tiririt Azeggaɣ: +$9. 17: +$25. Yal uṭṭun nniḍen: −$11. S ulemmas −$11/37, qrib 30¢, d 2,70% n $11 yettwarehnen. Azeggaɣ d uberkan akk xesren $20 ɣef yilemaḍebsiIlemTaxxamt tazegzawt tasuft ur yeṭṭif ula d yiwen n rrehn s lexlaṣ imsawi, n ddzina neɣ n tgejdit; d aɣbalu n lmaziyya n lkazinu. Daɣen: yiwen yilem, 0.Ɣer akk → u ulac ayen nniḍen: −$20/37, 2,70% n $20.
Azeggaɣ yeffeɣ-d 18 n tikkal deg 37: $10 yerbeḥ $10 u $1 ɣef 17 yexser, +$9. 17 yeffeɣ-d yiwet n tikkelt: rrehn ɣef uzeggaɣ yexser $10 u $1 yerbeḥ $35, +$25. 17 n wuṭṭunen iberkanen nniḍen d yilem, 18 n texxaminibenkanTaxxamtYiwet seg 37 n texxamin s wuṭṭunen ɣef uqerru yettezzin. Daɣen: slot, cup.Ɣer akk → s umata: i sin n rrhun xesren, −$11.
Alemmas: (18 × 9 + 25 − 18 × 11)/37 = (162 + 25 − 198)/37 = −11/37.
Yal rrehn yeǧǧa ssuma-s mi ara yemsdukkel d wayeḍ: $10 ɣef uzeggaɣ yetteklif 10/37 s ulemmas, $1 ɣef 17 yetteklif 1/37, u akk 11/37. Asdukkel n rrhun ibeddel amek ttwazerren yigmaḍ, mačči ssuma-nsen. Azeggaɣ d uberkan akk rran yal agmuḍ, ala ilem, d amsawi u mazal xellṣen 2,70% n wayen meṛṛa yettwarehnen, akk ɣef yilem. Hunacek (2025) yefka tiwuriwin-nni yiwet ɣef uḍebsi s sin yilmawen, anda ssuma d 5,26%.
Taḍsa i usgunfu
Tavaryans yemgaraden. Yiwet n lmaziyya. Yiwen yilem.
Iɣbula
- Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling.
- Epstein, R. A. The Theory of Gambling and Statistical Logic, 2nd ed.