Tastratijit n rrehn ur nettbeddil
Yiwen udrim n rrehn deg yal tuzzya. Tastratijit n rrehn ur nettbeddil deg rulit d lsas ara yettwasserwes yid-s yal anagraw n usnerni.
Rrehn ur nettbeddil yesɛa tavaryanstusnaktTavaryansAktazal n wamek i d-ttwazzaren igmaḍ i tama n wazal yettwaṛǧan. Meqqret i rrehn ɣef yiwen wuṭṭun, meẓẓiyet i rrhun s lexlaṣ imsawi.Ɣer akk → akk tamecṭuḥt i yal aferdisidrimenAferdisRrehn agejdan s wacu i yettxeddem unagraw neɣ amurar. Inagrawen n usnerni ttwaglamen s yiferdisen akken ad ilin i yal ṭṭabla.Ɣer akk → n lexsara yettwaṛǧan, u lexsara yettwaṛǧan i yal taɣimit d kan adrim n rrehn × tuzzyiwin / 37.
Acuɣer d lsas
War anagraw n usnernitastratijitAnagraw n usnerniYal alugen i yettbeddilen rrehn ɣef leḥsab n yigmaḍ yezrin. Asnerni deffir lexsara yessali-t deffir lexsara, asnerni deffir rrbeḥ deffir rrbeḥ.Ɣer akk →, azal ara terhnem yettwasbadu uqbel ad teqqimem: adrim n rrehn s tuzzyiwin. Lexsara yettwaṛǧantusnaktLexsara yettwaṛǧanAzal yettwaṛǧan seg tmerna n yidrimen yettwarhen; d alemmas n wayen yettwaxsar deg yiwet n tɣimit neɣ deg yiwen wakud.Ɣer akk → ihi tettwasbadu daɣen, d 1/37 n waya. Yal anagraw n usnerni yessers ugar s ulemmas, acku idrimen n rrehn ttalin deg tallit n lexsarat, ihi yexser ugar s ulemmas. Rrehn ur nettbeddiltastratijitRrehn ur nettbeddilRrehn n yiwen wazal deg yal tuzzya. D aswir ɣer wacu i yettwaserwas yal anagraw n usnerni.Ɣer akk → d abrid akk ur nɣellu ara i wurar n yal amḍan n tuzzyiwin s yal adrim n lsas.
Talɣa
Rrehn ur nettbeddil s lexlaṣ imsawi deg 100 n tuzzyiwin: azal n 42% n tɣimiyin ttfakkent s rrbeḥ, azal n tlemmast d lexsara tamecṭuḥt, u igmaḍ yugaren ±$200 s $10 d imecṭaḥ (azal n 5% n tɣimiyin). Abeṭṭu yesɛa talɣa n lnaqus, s tlemmast deg −$27 s ubeɛɛed alugantusnaktAbeɛɛed aluganAẓar amkuẓ n tavaryans; ameccaq n umata gar ugmuḍ d wazal yettwaṛǧan.Ɣer akk → n $100. Rrehn ur nettbeddil ɣef yiwen wuṭṭun deg yiwet n tuzzyiwin-nni yesɛa yiwet n tlemmast d ubeɛɛed alugan n $584: drus n tɣimiyin s rrbeḥ (azal n 31%) d rrbeḥ ameqqran s waṭas.
- p10 −$420
- p25 −$280
- azal n tlemmast −$140
- p75 +$20
- p90 +$160
Afran n udrim n rrehn
Lexsara yettwaṛǧan i yal asrag d adrim n rrehn × tuzzyiwin i yal asrag / 37. Ferzet acḥal yeswa yiwen usrag n wurar ɣur-wen d asedhu, bḍut-t ɣef tuzzyiwin i yal asrag n ṭṭabla ara turarem, u segtet s 37. Ɣef ṭṭabla srid n 50 n tuzzyiwin, tadrimt n $10 i yal asrag tettak adrim n rrehn n $7,40. Ugar n yimdanen ttafen leḥsab-a yessefhamen u yessenqas cwiṭ afud.
Rrehn ur nettbeddil s ulugen n uḥbas
Tarnawt n talast n lexsaratastratijitTalast n lexsaraAzal n lexsara yettwasbedden send, anda ara tfakkem taɣimit.Ɣer akk → d talast n rrbeḥtastratijitTalast n rrbeḥIswi n rrbeḥ yettwasbedden send, anda ara tfakkem taɣimit.Ɣer akk → terra rrehn ur nettbeddil d ayen iqerben akk ɣer uqḍu yettwaḥkamen deg rulit: tessnem ssuma tameqqrant, tessnem melmi ara truḥem, u lmaziyya n lkazinutusnaktLmaziyya n lkazinuAḥric n yal rrehn i teṭṭef lkazinu s ulemmas: 2,70% deg rulit tawrupit.Ɣer akk → tettwasnas kan ɣef tuzzyiwin i turarem s tidet. Ur yessedhay ara am unagraw n usnerni, d ayen i d iswi-s.
Ayen ur yezmir ara ad t-yexdem rrehn ur nettbeddil
Ur yezmir ara ad yerr azal yettwaṛǧantusnaktAzal yettwaṛǧanAlemmas n ugmuḍ n yal rrehn deg uɣawas aɣezfan. −1/37 n rrehn i yal rrehn amagnu awrupi.Ɣer akk → sennig n yilem, u ur yezmir ara ad yerr taɣimit n 100 n tuzzyiwin ad tekfu s rrbeḥ s taprubabilit ugar n wazal n 42% ɣef lexlaṣ imsawi. Imuraren i yesran ad ḥulfun s rrbeḥ deg ugar n yiḍan ad mmalen ɣer MartingaletastratijitMartingaleAnagraw n usnerni i yessneggmen rrehn deffir yal lexsara. Walit taggayt n tstratijit i wayen i yettxemmem d wayen ur yettxemmim ara.Ɣer akk →, u ilaq ad ɣren asebter-nni di tazwara.
Asimulatur · Ur nettbeddil
2 000 n tɣimiyin n rrhun s lexlaṣ imsawi, s ugerruj n $1 000.
Rrehn n tazwara $10 · talast n ṭṭabla $500 · 100 n tuzzyiwin i yal taɣimit
Isteqsiyen
D ulac-is, d ayen i t-yerran d win akk ur nɣellu ara.
Ɣef yal tavaryans i wen-yeɛǧben. Lexlaṣ imsawi i tɣimit taɣezfant yeṣfan, rrhun ɣef yiwen wuṭṭunrrehnYiwen wuṭṭunYiwen wuṭṭun kan, ixelleṣ 35:1.Ɣer akk → i tḥulfut n lluṭu. Ssuma d yiwet.
Kullec yeddu ugar ɣef ṭṭablat tifransisin: lmaziyya n lexlaṣ imsawi tettenqas s wazgen.
Taḍsa i usgunfu
Adrim n rrehn × tuzzyiwin / 37. Ulac ayen yettwaffren.
Iɣbula
- RouletteDoc. Aglam n tstratijit d yimedyaten.
- Roulette77. Aglam n tstratijit d yimedyaten.
- Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling.