Igmaḍ n rulit: taɣuri n tfelwit
Tafelwit tilektṛunit yellan sennig n yal aḍebsi tesskan-d igmaḍ n rulit yezrin. Ur tessin acemma ɣef wayen ara d-yasen, u ha-t-an wayen i d-tesskan s tidet.
Tifelwiyin n yigmaḍ ttbeddrent uṭṭunen ineggura, amḍan n yiniten, uṭṭunen yeḥman d wuṭṭunen isemmaḍenlexrafaUṭṭun asemmaḍUṭṭun ur d-nettwaẓra ara aṭas n tuzzyiwin. Ɣef uḍebsi imsawi ur d-yettak ula d yiwet n telɣut ɣef tuzzyiwin ara d-yasen.Ɣer akk →, tikwal tidaddanin n tgezminaḍebsiTagzemtAḥric n texxamin yemmeḍfaren ɣef uḍebsi, mačči d tagrumma ɣef tfelwit.Ɣer akk →. Kullec d tidet, u ulac ayen deg-s ara d-yinin tuzzya i d-iteddun. Lmdet ad tt-teɣrem akken ad tt-tettum s lebɣi.
Ayen i d-tesskan tfelwit
Ɛecrin n yigmaḍ ineggura akka s umyizwer, s umata s yiniten; afmiḍi n uzeggaɣrrehnAzeggaɣRrehn s lexlaṣ imsawi ɣef 18 n wuṭṭunen izeggaɣen. S tefransist: rouge.Ɣer akk →, uberkanrrehnAberkanRrehn s lexlaṣ imsawi ɣef 18 n wuṭṭunen iberkanen. S tefransist: noir.Ɣer akk → d yilemaḍebsiIlemTaxxamt tazegzawt tasuft ur yeṭṭif ula d yiwen n rrehn s lexlaṣ imsawi, n ddzina neɣ n tgejdit; d aɣbalu n lmaziyya n lkazinu. Daɣen: yiwen yilem, 0.Ɣer akk → deg yiwen usfaylu; uṭṭunen i d-yeɣlin ugar d wid i d-yeɣlin drus («yeḥman» d «isemmaḍen»); u ɣef ṭṭablat srid, tamuɣli n racetrackṭṭablaRacetrackAɣerdu aqerqur ɣef tfelwiyin srid d tid n tmacinin i d-yesskanen uṭṭunen s umyizwer n uḍebsi, yettwasqedcen i users n rrhun n lǧiran d tegzemt s yiwen usiti.Ɣer akk → s umḍan n tikkal i yal taxxamtibenkanTaxxamtYiwet seg 37 n texxamin s wuṭṭunen ɣef uqerru yettezzin. Daɣen: slot, cup.Ɣer akk →. Kra n tfelwiyin rnant-d imesknen n yizrar d «wid yeṭṭsen», uṭṭunen ur d-neɣli ara seg akud aṭas. Tidaddanin-a meṛṛa n rulit d agzul n tuzzyiwin tineggura.
Anwi uṭṭunen i d-yeɣlin ugar deg rulit, d wayen i d-yebɣa ad yini
Deg 300 n tuzzyiwin, amḍan yettwaṛǧan i yal uṭṭun d 8,1 s ubeɛɛed alugantusnaktAbeɛɛed aluganAẓar amkuẓ n tavaryans; ameccaq n umata gar ugmuḍ d wazal yettwaṛǧan.Ɣer akk → n 2,8. Win yeḥman ugar deg 37 n wuṭṭunen ad d-yesken s umata seg 13 ar 15 n tikkal s zzher; win yesmeḍ ugar, 2 neɣ 3. Tafelwit i d-yesbeggenen uṭṭun yeɣlin 14 n tikkal tesbeggin-d azal afellay yettwaṛǧan n tegrumma n lḥeqq: uṭṭunen n rulit i d-yeɣlin ugar ɣef tfelwit n uḍebsi imsawi d ixef n ubeṭṭu agacuran, mačči d tamagit n uḍebsi. Asebter n Tnarit ɣef tiddi n tegrumma yenna-d belli amyal n tidet i yesɛan azal yeḥwaǧ timerwin n yigiman n tuzzyiwin akken ad d-iban; tafelwit tesskan-d timiḍiwin.
Mi ara tecceḍ tfelwit
Tifelwiyin kellfent idrimen, akka $7 000 i yal yiwet ilmend n yimḍanen n Bollman, u yiwet n lkazinu tufa belli tafelwit-is terra-d ssuma-s s wurar n rulit i d-yernan deg sḍis n yimalasen. Ur llint ara war tuccḍa. Deg yunyu 2012, tafelwit deg Rio n Las Vegas tesskan-d 19 sa n tikkal yemḍafaren ɣef uḍebsi s sin yilmawen; kra n wussan deffir, lkazinu tenna-d belli d agdil i yecceḍ, mačči d aḍebsi. Sa n tikkal 19 yemḍafaren ɣef uḍebsi imsawi d akka 1 seg 3 n yimelyaṛen, ma neḥseb seg 19 amezwaru, u yiwen udular yeqqimen ɣef 19 deg sa-nni n tikkal ad yuɣal d ugar n $78 n yimelyaṛen, lukan tella ṭṭabla ara t-yeǧǧen. Rrhun ttwaxelṣen ilmend n uḍebsi d wawal n ukrupi, mačči ilmend n tfelwit.
I wacu tenfeɛ tfelwit
Imuraren ssutren-tt, ihi lkazinu fkant-tt. Tenfeɛ daɣen i yiwen n yiswi amecṭuḥ, n tidet: tettaǧǧa-ken ad tesneqdem belli akrupi yebder-d uṭṭun i twalam, u ɣef ṭṭablat srid d ttbut n tunnḍa. I win yettnadin ɣef umyal, d asebter amezwaru n yiwet n tkerrast tazegrart mliḥ; i wiyaḍ meṛṛa, d agdil n usgunfu.
Aseqdec yelhan n tfelwit
Sseqdcet-tt akken ad tesneqdem igmaḍ u ad teṭṭfem amḍan-nwen ma tettḍefrem alugen n uḥbas s tuzzyiwin. Ur tt-sseqdacet ara akken ad tefrenem rrehn. Ɣef uḍebsi imsawi, uṭṭunen i d-yeɣlin ugar ɣef tfelwiyin n rulit sɛan yiwet n taprubabilit deg tuzzya i d-iteddun am wid i d-yeɣlin drus, u yal afran yesɛa yiwen wazal yettwaṛǧantusnaktAzal yettwaṛǧanAlemmas n ugmuḍ n yal rrehn deg uɣawas aɣezfan. −1/37 n rrehn i yal rrehn amagnu awrupi.Ɣer akk →; tafelwit ur tezmir ara ad awen-d-tini ma yella uḍebsi d imsawi. Ma tufam iman-nwen tettrehnem ɣef uṭṭun acku d asemmaḍ, ɣret asebter n tuccḍa n umqemmer; ma acku yeḥma, ɣret yiwen usebter-nni.
Isteqsiyen
Acku asfaylu d amecṭuḥ. Deg 100 n tuzzyiwin, azeggaɣ ad yili anida yebɣu seg 38% ar 59% tuget n tikkal.
Ala. D asekan n yigmaḍ yettwaklasen u tettwasenqad s usekles n usenqed.
Aṭas n yimseddayen srid ssuffɣen-d amezruy ummid. D netta i d tafekka n Wheel Bias Analyzer.
Urar s tusnakt
Ɛerḍet-tent s yiman-nwen qbel. Yal tifrat tettwaffer; ldit-tt mi ara tilim twejdem.
Rbeɛṭac n uzeggaɣrrehnAzeggaɣRrehn s lexlaṣ imsawi ɣef 18 n wuṭṭunen izeggaɣen. S tefransist: rouge.Ɣer akk → ṭṭafaren d azrar i yerran imuraren ad ṭṭfen tugna n tfelwit. Ɣef uḍebsi awrupi, acḥal d taprubabilit ad ilint 14 n tuzzyiwin d-iteddun d tizeggaɣin akk? Acḥal n yizrar am wigi ara tettṛaǧu lkazinu s 20 n ṭṭabliyat, yal yiwet tettezzi 40 n tikkal deg ssaɛa ass d yiḍ, deg useggas?
Sken-d tifrat
Tiririt 1 seg 24 044 i 14 n tuzzyiwin d-iteddun. Qrib 150 n yizrar n 14 n uzeggaɣ neɣ ugar deg useggas, u qrib 300 s yizrar n uberkanrrehnAberkanRrehn s lexlaṣ imsawi ɣef 18 n wuṭṭunen iberkanen. S tefransist: noir.Ɣer akk →: qrib yiwen deg wass.
Rbeɛṭac n uzeggaɣ ṭṭafaren: (18/37)¹⁴ = 1 seg 24 044. Ɣef uḍebsi s sin yilmawenaḍebsiIlemTaxxamt tazegzawt tasuft ur yeṭṭif ula d yiwen n rrehn s lexlaṣ imsawi, n ddzina neɣ n tgejdit; d aɣbalu n lmaziyya n lkazinu. Daɣen: yiwen yilem, 0.Ɣer akk → d (18/38)¹⁴ = 1 seg 34 927, amḍan i d-yefka Bollman (2024).
Aseggas n tuzzyiwin: 20 × 40 × 24 × 365 = 7 008 000. Azrar amaynut n uzeggaɣ yezmer ad yebdu kan deffir tuzzya ur nelli d tazeggaɣt (19 n tikkal deg 37), ihi izrar n 14 neɣ ugar bdan qrib 7 008 000 × 19/37 × 1/24 044 ≈ 150 n tikkal deg useggas. Izrar n uberkan ssnernayen-ten s snat ar qrib 300.
Tuget n wussan, deg kra n wadeg deg lkazinu-nni, tafelwit tesskan-d azrar ara cfun wid yellan ɣef ṭṭabla-nni iseggasen. Tafelwit tesbeggin-it; ur as-tettak ara anamek.
Taḍsa i usgunfu
Tafelwit d tidet ɣef wayen yezrin, tessusem ɣef wayen ara d-yasen.
Iɣbula
- Feller, W. An Introduction to Probability Theory and Its Applications, Vol. 1.
- Bollman, M. Basic Gambling Mathematics: The Numbers Behind the Neon, 2nd ed.